TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a36…74b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST6764.2%43 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+62.7%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.1%+$23.35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+113.9%+$21.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.9%+$11.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+123.2%+$13.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+152.1%+$27.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+113.5%+$15.95
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+106.9%+$15.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+98%+$21.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.4%+$8.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.7%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.57
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.2%+$4.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69%+$16.33
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.62
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.49
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+93.5%+$72.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+50.9%+$6.75
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Valinor - Game 1 Winnerbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+118.1%+$15.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Paris Basketballbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.