TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION46c25,338$11,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,584.591,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Falcons57c23,730$13,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,518.4233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION45c20,304$9,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,123.122,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION42c19,860$8,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5093,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION48c12,880$6,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,722.923,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION42c12,185$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,126.9859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed PARIVISION43c11,032$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,291.6112649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked PARIVISION21c8,885$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,030.98342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons51c8,093$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.9983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Falcons40c7,503$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Team Falcons52c7,258$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.8321051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons64c6,036$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.544,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons62c5,999$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.291,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION51c4,895$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.382060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Team Falcons63c4,570$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.0910739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION47c4,490$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION37c4,484$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.776,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ec…1ea6backed Team Falcons63c4,300$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3216…aa16backed PARIVISION37c4,250$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Team Falcons53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1204942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Falcons55c3,590$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.8946345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons51c3,514$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.033,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION35c3,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Falcons47c2,834$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.032,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons50c2,754$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.5147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION40c2,680$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.6676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Team Falcons2c2,600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION53c2,348$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.981,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Team Falcons48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.863246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Team Falcons60c2,094$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.624555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Falcons69c2,044$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.569038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons59c2,001$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.1145058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION66c1,847$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.641,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION54c1,799$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.8137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed PARIVISION17c1,757$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.033534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Team Falcons29c1,705$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3311443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked PARIVISION37c1,702$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.2661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons44c1,635$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72261837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION55c1,606$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.561,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed PARIVISION37c1,573$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.9724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed PARIVISION51c1,450$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.4141850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Team Falcons61c1,400$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.844346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed PARIVISION41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.8176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed PARIVISION37c1,180$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.0946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION42c1,139$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.614,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION45c1,105$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.2165650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION50c1,071$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2719642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Team Falcons50c1,030$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.689340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons62c971.4$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.1440950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed PARIVISION34c964.26$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4117345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Team Falcons52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Falcons56c900.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50049850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed PARIVISION17c897.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.348416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons61c897$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons46c889.82$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed PARIVISION23c863.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.1131654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION50c846$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d72…ce8cbacked Team Falcons55c806.4$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons41c788.04$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7721055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Team Falcons65c773.73$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Falcons49c717.59$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8822554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…3377backed PARIVISION29c611.13$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.114165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Team Falcons60c599.99$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.998158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed PARIVISION36c599.97$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.9817548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons25c577.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4357322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Falcons48c526.09$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.761,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed PARIVISION37c500.24$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0755845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION6c500$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Team Falcons30c500$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491656.3%9 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+79.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons61c498.18$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9d…df59backed PARIVISION20c495.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.044134.1%14 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cf9…cffdbacked Team Falcons61c480.2$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION66c459.32$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4341260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed PARIVISION21c450$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35447641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked PARIVISION61c440.69$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.213756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd0…11dbbacked Team Falcons76c433.12$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-72.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc97e…ea6fbacked Team Falcons48c416.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.132373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.9wins+0.30per pick44cpaid+67.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed PARIVISION37c401.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.166233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c5…d432backed Team Falcons60c396.03$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.721729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons62c388.83$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.881,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION39c387.18$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1825846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION35c383$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.951,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed PARIVISION40c376.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.453850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Team Falcons59c374.03$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.948633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed PARIVISION43c356.84$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.566648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked PARIVISION29c348.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7728443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION42c342.27$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked PARIVISION50c341.8$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2412132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked Team Falcons56c341.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed PARIVISION59c338.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6110753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Team Falcons60c335.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked PARIVISION34c332.22$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6312050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f03…7551backed Team Falcons63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Team Falcons64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked Team Falcons72c302.6$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.25133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd12…5503backed Team Falcons29c300$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21645455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Team Falcons67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20111644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.