CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9455f25eecc05a518c19eefe7d7e08f4ffc4f52fac6c2a655edcb74f356baae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 41c | 4,843$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.58 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,681$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.78 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,484$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.25 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,388$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.93 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Team Falcons | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked PARIVISION | 57c | 665.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Falcons | 44c | 533.59$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 500$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed PARIVISION | 57c | 479.3$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Team Falcons | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 44c | 442.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed PARIVISION | 58c | 410$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed PARIVISION | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 43c | 395.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed PARIVISION | 59c | 367.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed PARIVISION | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed PARIVISION | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed PARIVISION | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 40c | 302.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed PARIVISION | 60c | 250.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Team Falcons | 42c | 197.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked PARIVISION | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Team Falcons | 52c | 153.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Team Falcons | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 122.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 108.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed PARIVISION | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 87.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Team Falcons | 43c | 82.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION | 65c | 72.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed Team Falcons | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed PARIVISION | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 49.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…449dbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 57c | 45.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed PARIVISION | 59c | 42.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Falcons | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…645bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Team Falcons | 43c | 34.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed PARIVISION | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Team Falcons | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…9f15backed PARIVISION | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed PARIVISION | 59c | 29.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 53c | 29.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2594…cd5abacked Team Falcons | 44c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…60a7backed PARIVISION | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…30b2backed Team Falcons | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed PARIVISION | 47c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.