TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a01…449d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT7753.2%41 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$79.51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Counter-Strike: NIP vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+180.8%+$54.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.2%+$23.16
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.76
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+345.6%+$38.01
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Brynaesbacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.