CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f34d09b2beb82c59a373a84e3271778d34e6aacedc5638760298ce26aa0ce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,195,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked TheMongolz | 35c | 199,999$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,999.4 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 169,235$108,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,893.2 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 45,969$19,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,890.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked TheMongolz | 35c | 45,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,249.8 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed TheMongolz | 34c | 37,774$12,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,931.08 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 32,539$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 28,680$12,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,088.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 24,192$14,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,265.59 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 20,127$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.86 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 17,702$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.15 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 17,119$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.44 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 16,357$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960.16 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed TheMongolz | 32c | 16,182$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,035.92 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 15,326$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,133.44 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 34c | 15,038$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.11 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…3d14backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 14,190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 14,026$10,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,371.55 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 13,000$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,340 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed TheMongolz | 36c | 13,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 12,774$8,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,518.24 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 12,352$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.24 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 11,500$7,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,474.97 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed TheMongolz | 36c | 11,000$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.95 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 10,867$6,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.82 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 9,351$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.96 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 8,772$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.09 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…e532backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 8,713$5,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 8,333$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed TheMongolz | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.98 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 7,255$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.94 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,635$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.49 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 6,326$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.72 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 5,914$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.28 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,838$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.58 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 24c | 5,824$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.11 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz | 35c | 5,725$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.25 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 5,697$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.61 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 5,342$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.72 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed TheMongolz | 24c | 5,231$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.78 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 5,191$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,173$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.93 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 5,070$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed TheMongolz | 65c | 5,006$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz | 35c | 4,562$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.3 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0a29backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 4,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,394$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.03 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked TheMongolz | 71c | 4,079$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.36 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,755$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.16 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 3,700$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,661$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked TheMongolz | 41c | 3,635$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.54 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,566$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 3,540$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.19 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,521$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed TheMongolz | 48c | 3,401$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.68 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,024$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.57 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed TheMongolz | 34c | 2,956$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.88 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed TheMongolz | 33c | 2,936$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,920$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.37 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 2,828$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.1 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed TheMongolz | 36c | 2,779$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.6 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,763$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4bedbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 2,745$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,732$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,700$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TheMongolz | 34c | 2,637$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.19 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed TheMongolz | 60c | 2,603$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.12 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,569$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.84 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed TheMongolz | 39c | 2,500$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,480$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.8 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,426$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.68 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,388$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.7 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,300$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked TheMongolz | 59c | 2,254$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed TheMongolz | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.97 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz | 42c | 2,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.01 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 2,114$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.76 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,024$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.29 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,024$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.13 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked TheMongolz | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed TheMongolz | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,925$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.2 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,890$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.28 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,885$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.25 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.