CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd3c8c78a9a490e5be264eac5f79649f74873b324405041433fd1f73dd85d589

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
Resolved: Feb 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $121,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $148,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,662 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf774…3821backed TheMongolz	0c	16,810$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+82.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked TheMongolz	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	152	45.4%69 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere	64c	9,920$6,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,571.2	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz	9c	5,375$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.5	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz	13c	4,887$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.74	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed TheMongolz	26c	3,800$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.95	282	48.9%138 W · 144 L	+21.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed TheMongolz	20c	3,718$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere	64c	2,672$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.86	205	39.5%81 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed TheMongolz	14c	2,101$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.61	273	48.4%132 W · 141 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere	58c	1,886$1,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.4	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed TheMongolz	18c	1,716$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.59	330	43.3%143 W · 187 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz	2c	1,700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere	73c	1,623$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.64	169	47.9%81 W · 88 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Natus Vincere	59c	1,602$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.24	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz	10c	1,500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz	13c	1,500$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	314	44.9%141 W · 173 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere	74c	1,217$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.51	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz	8c	1,214$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Natus Vincere	71c	1,072$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.85	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	325	48.3%157 W · 168 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz	48c	1,046$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	249	44.6%111 W · 138 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked TheMongolz	49c	1,029$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed TheMongolz	10c	957.58$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere	79c	945.07$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.62	388	68.3%265 W · 123 L	+25.7wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked TheMongolz	29c	845.06$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.87	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed TheMongolz	35c	799.99$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-8.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed TheMongolz	43c	697.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz	5c	680.26$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz	13c	660.05$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.61	696	24%167 W · 529 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz	32c	659.86$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.49	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere	56c	611.36$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz	23c	576.39$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.15	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed TheMongolz	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	498	50.2%250 W · 248 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed TheMongolz	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Natus Vincere	60c	555$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed TheMongolz	43c	465.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere	68c	457$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.67	398	51.3%204 W · 194 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Natus Vincere	70c	436.14$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.14	334	57.8%193 W · 141 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed TheMongolz	10c	414.84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x74d8…27e7backed TheMongolz	17c	388.23$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06c4…9983backed TheMongolz	5c	382.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed TheMongolz	33c	381$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.92	210	55.7%117 W · 93 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked TheMongolz	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed TheMongolz	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	783	48.4%379 W · 404 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Natus Vincere	79c	296.12$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.58	126	53.2%67 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdaf…02e6backed TheMongolz	15c	293.33$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Natus Vincere	77c	289.26$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.28	529	47.1%249 W · 280 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz	5c	284.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed TheMongolz	24c	250$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.25	625	38.6%241 W · 384 L	-16.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed TheMongolz	27c	240$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	127	42.5%54 W · 73 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	617	54.8%338 W · 279 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked TheMongolz	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere	70c	187.36$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.83	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…7df7backed TheMongolz	29c	185.66$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.84	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz	31c	170.61$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda95…8c8ebacked TheMongolz	19c	166$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.82	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed TheMongolz	48c	152$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.96	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed Natus Vincere	61c	122.95$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.95	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed TheMongolz	10c	119$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed TheMongolz	36c	110.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	166	50.6%84 W · 82 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked TheMongolz	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	446	41.3%184 W · 262 L	-28.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1056…225cbacked Natus Vincere	60c	100.01$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.01	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Natus Vincere	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed TheMongolz	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed Natus Vincere	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Natus Vincere	74c	96.62$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.12	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed TheMongolz	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	235	57.4%135 W · 100 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Natus Vincere	58c	91.54$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.45	148	63.5%94 W · 54 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Natus Vincere	73c	85.07$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.97	231	61.5%142 W · 89 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked TheMongolz	35c	79.49$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	596	47.3%282 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Natus Vincere	70c	71.74$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.74	416	45.9%191 W · 225 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked Natus Vincere	65c	70.71$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Natus Vincere	57c	70$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.1	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed TheMongolz	21c	69.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed TheMongolz	39c	64.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	288	44.1%127 W · 161 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed TheMongolz	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere	54c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x214a…d34bbacked TheMongolz	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz	33c	52.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz	32c	52.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	426	51.6%220 W · 206 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Natus Vincere	57c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0a…c825backed Natus Vincere	61c	49.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Natus Vincere	65c	47.08$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked TheMongolz	36c	41.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	700	36.1%253 W · 447 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed TheMongolz	27c	37.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed Natus Vincere	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	139	64%89 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Natus Vincere	55c	33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.85	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3952…c2b4backed TheMongolz	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed TheMongolz	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e6…a23ebacked Natus Vincere	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Natus Vincere	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0f…c3c8backed Natus Vincere	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere	64c	20.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.42	760	58%441 W · 319 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x45b9…5822backed Natus Vincere	61c	19.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTheMongolz won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event