CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758e0a190c73f5212de94819ad3f57bf001cbc26e4deb2b05c07f43fcebf2963

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: TheMongolzof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
Resolved: Feb 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $170,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $202,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,183 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere	64c	20,000$12,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,799.98	760	58%441 W · 319 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz	38c	17,714$6,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,008.06	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz	38c	15,001$5,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,358.5	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere	44c	14,667$6,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,427.74	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz	34c	12,538$4,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,226.81	724	53.7%389 W · 335 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked TheMongolz	43c	10,000$4,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,700	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Natus Vincere	60c	9,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed TheMongolz	35c	3,800$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,469.93	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked Natus Vincere	56c	3,381$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,898.42	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere	36c	3,333$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.77	229	27.5%63 W · 166 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere	6c	3,000$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	358	50.8%182 W · 176 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere	22c	2,752$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.58	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz	36c	2,608$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,669.54	376	46.3%174 W · 202 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed TheMongolz	35c	2,500$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.97	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere	67c	2,403$1,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.52	169	47.9%81 W · 88 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Natus Vincere	66c	2,400$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.96	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere	65c	2,222$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.3	469	49.7%233 W · 236 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere	49c	2,191$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.61	212	51.4%109 W · 103 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere	15c	2,012$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.12	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere	22c	1,955$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.44	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere	65c	1,932$1,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256	263	60.8%160 W · 103 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere	22c	1,880$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	279	50.2%140 W · 139 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Natus Vincere	13c	1,800$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.02	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere	38c	1,688$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.36	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere	66c	1,615$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.54	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere	67c	1,600$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072	255	55.3%141 W · 114 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere	4c	1,500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere	14c	1,494$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.96	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed TheMongolz	34c	1,319$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.88	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+19.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz	36c	1,098$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.41	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed TheMongolz	43c	1,074$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.5	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere	8c	1,069$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.83	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed TheMongolz	57c	1,046$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.64	260	46.9%122 W · 138 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	175	48%84 W · 91 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz	79c	1,000$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	388	68.3%265 W · 123 L	+25.7wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Natus Vincere	26c	949.99$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.42	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz	58c	913.36$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.87	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked Natus Vincere	67c	900$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Natus Vincere	10c	799.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.88	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed Natus Vincere	38c	662.73$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Natus Vincere	66c	656.72$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.89	334	57.8%193 W · 141 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere	66c	654$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.64	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Natus Vincere	15c	650$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.09	325	48.3%157 W · 168 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere	20c	643.14$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.14	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed TheMongolz	70c	642.86$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.86	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Natus Vincere	15c	600$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Natus Vincere	62c	553.95$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.89	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2908…789abacked Natus Vincere	65c	530.31$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.7	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	64cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Natus Vincere	9c	518.67$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.68	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Natus Vincere	9c	517.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.1	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed TheMongolz	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	284	43.7%124 W · 160 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed Natus Vincere	5c	497.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+113.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked TheMongolz	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Natus Vincere	67c	451.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b66…68b8backed Natus Vincere	67c	448.84$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.72	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	63cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere	6c	416.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz	50c	416.41$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.15	617	54.8%338 W · 279 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere	7c	409.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	528	34.3%181 W · 347 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz	53c	402.17$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.88	529	47.1%249 W · 280 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Natus Vincere	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	135	40.7%55 W · 80 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	314	44.9%141 W · 173 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed TheMongolz	35c	330$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.5	508	33.5%170 W · 338 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Natus Vincere	66c	303.03$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	235	57.4%135 W · 100 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Natus Vincere	60c	300$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	625	38.6%241 W · 384 L	-16.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Natus Vincere	42c	298.03$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	178	50.6%90 W · 88 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere	50c	293$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.57	249	44.6%111 W · 138 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d8…27e7backed Natus Vincere	32c	281.25$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Natus Vincere	13c	271.24$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Natus Vincere	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…adbdbacked Natus Vincere	38c	244.42$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.08	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Natus Vincere	6c	209$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked TheMongolz	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	581	49.2%286 W · 295 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Natus Vincere	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	42.5%54 W · 73 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed TheMongolz	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	392	37.2%146 W · 246 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed Natus Vincere	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Natus Vincere	23c	193.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere	66c	181.27$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.64	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Natus Vincere	32c	170.3$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1c…fc18backed Natus Vincere	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Natus Vincere	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	129	55%71 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…7df7backed Natus Vincere	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fb…fbb9backed TheMongolz	40c	151.42$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.51	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Natus Vincere	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere	23c	145$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.88	696	24%167 W · 529 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda95…8c8ebacked Natus Vincere	43c	142.71$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b4afbacked TheMongolz	70c	141.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	73cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Natus Vincere	66c	134.94$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.06	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz	63c	122.36$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.27	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere	67c	114.93$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere	44c	112.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Natus Vincere	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed TheMongolz	57c	104.92$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.75	150	56%84 W · 66 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed TheMongolz	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	196	58.2%114 W · 82 L	+11.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Natus Vincere	66c	101.52$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	374	48.4%181 W · 193 L	-16.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed TheMongolz	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c2…3c0abacked TheMongolz	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Natus Vincere	14c	98.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	231	61.5%142 W · 89 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTheMongolz won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event