TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06c4…9983

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$35.02
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$27.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44.03
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+65.3%+$8.08
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.97
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+143.7%+$21.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+106.9%+$32.08
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.7%+$16.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37.4%+$4.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.11
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.