TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-01-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No57c6,250$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.91,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c4,450$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.785,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes47c3,092$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes47c2,989$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,625$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.258,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No57c2,384$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.131,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c1,436$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.051,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes45c1,185$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes45c1,004$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4556142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes43c696$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0412331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes29c691.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.471816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c667.64$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e6…d328backed Yes32c619.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes50c614.76$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.31315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba27…1e9ebacked Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+78.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd524…4341backed Yes35c430.14$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c400.77$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1981651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c390.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes50c362$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No57c295$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0663644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47e…655bbacked Yes20c281$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…7078backed Yes51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes46c256.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11912239.3%48 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Yes39c253.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.592766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12012443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Yes35c248.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes46c236$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5620846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes44c221.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6440242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8053…df17backed Yes49c208.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c204.63$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.832,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9883642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes49c173.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a58…daa6backed Yes12c164.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No50c162.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1811959.7%71 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked No53c145$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes42c144.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed No55c144.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.323050%15 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No66c142.22$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.852770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed No67c115$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes49c113.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed No66c111.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.143455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c30…7320backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes45c98.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.019522.1%21 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes48c95.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x907f…19b1backed Yes46c95.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes49c91.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.797951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed No65c74.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes44c72.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Yes36c70.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…a4e0backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307424.3%18 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No53c60.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce3…ff2abacked No55c58.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c58.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.163,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x845c…bd64backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No79c54.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2814443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes57c52.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x928d…52a7backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No48c51.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes35c50.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.674839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked No55c47.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.284652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b1…5de8backed Yes47c46.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c45.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes44c44.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed No65c39.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8511461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x168e…98b3backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No57c37.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1321345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c4…9983backed Yes44c34.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc4…4205backed Yes44c34.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No50c33.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.524854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9246…84aebacked Yes36c32.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes45c31.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.143551.4%18 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+48.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86f2…0546backed No63c30.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.949535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122f…c5c9backed Yes34c29.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…c1d1backed Yes49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…cc89backed No57c28.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ec…80c1backed Yes46c28.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes45c27.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.