TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8b0…cc4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11165.8%73 W · 38 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.9
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$328.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$272.2
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$319.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63%+$1,260.94
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$360.22
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$1,906.91
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,999.9
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.89
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$57.15
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64.39
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$95.77
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$329.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$134.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$74.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$378.57
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$237.39
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$27.54
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.5%+$144.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$144.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.54
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$65.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$69.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$61.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 22 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$64.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$402.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$38.14
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$22.75
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Viking FK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Unicajabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$489.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.