Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x207995ff48217719db39a7769cfda4f8f11ba9320e6ec71371095267a22de39a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,195,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,524,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,195,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,054 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 51c | 1,182,565$600,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600,745.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 45c | 519,422$235,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283,914.36 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 49c | 500,596$245,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,304.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 49c | 307,752$150,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,953.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Yes | 60c | 287,572$172,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,543.31 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 61c | 154,831$94,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,447.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 79,915$32,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,839.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 49c | 62,921$30,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,731.27 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 50,008$20,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,004.94 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000.1 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,499.82 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 44,886$21,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,753.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 34,901$13,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,139.33 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 60c | 30,418$18,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,198 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 57c | 29,916$16,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,952.6 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 54c | 28,887$15,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,482.29 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 40c | 22,000$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,209.88 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 58c | 21,136$12,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,270.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 49c | 20,800$10,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 20,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,449.96 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 17,416$9,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,942.38 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 59c | 17,000$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,070 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 51c | 16,454$8,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,364.29 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 39c | 14,967$5,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,079.93 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 40c | 13,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 49c | 12,943$6,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,557.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Yes | 61c | 12,749$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 40c | 12,222$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.2 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 40c | 12,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 49c | 10,986$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.66 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Yes | 42c | 10,726$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 40c | 9,791$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.75 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 61c | 9,495$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 54c | 9,264$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 61c | 9,180$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 50c | 8,991$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 8,931$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.65 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 61c | 7,987$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 61c | 7,541$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 59c | 7,257$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 40c | 7,124$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.95 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked No | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed No | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 59c | 6,770$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.51 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 6,377$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.42 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed No | 41c | 6,159$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 40c | 6,000$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 50c | 5,846$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.36 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 41c | 5,539$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.81 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7c…3e26backed Yes | 59c | 5,235$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 66c | 5,215$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 34c | 5,104$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.38 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 5,007$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 40c | 4,593$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 61c | 4,363$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 46c | 4,308$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.6 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 18c | 4,073$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.24 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 61c | 4,009$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.95 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 3,991$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.62 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 57c | 3,971$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked No | 40c | 3,900$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 61c | 3,755$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.48 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 62c | 3,584$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yes | 59c | 3,338$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…1ddebacked Yes | 46c | 3,299$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 61c | 3,292$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.6 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 41c | 3,085$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.03 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.95 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 60c | 2,923$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.5 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 42c | 2,800$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 61c | 2,787$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 40c | 2,700$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.61 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,579$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.65 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.