TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c23,863$17,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.392,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8924…c8d2backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No77c8,699$6,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.79856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c6,701$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.151,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c6,382$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.016,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Yes35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No66c5,997$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.9111346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No76c5,341$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.7830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.375658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes25c3,608$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cd…113dbacked Yes26c3,414$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c3,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.131,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes27c2,869$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.611526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No76c2,554$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.963881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed No66c2,254$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7611020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes25c2,200$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c2,150$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.51,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c1,886$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c1,585$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.332,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes24c1,565$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.393951.3%20 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+100.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes25c1,462$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.922433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No66c1,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No76c1,322$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes19c1,250$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.779732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes32c743.75$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes24c740.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.671,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes4c740.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.344323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes20c638.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.583240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c618.32$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes21c600.38$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes24c490.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.726046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes31c485.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No73c482.15$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c446.68$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.218551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Yes23c442.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.44829.2%14 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes25c430$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.511142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c392.89$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3330050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes24c392$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.082343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes26c391.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-65.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6abd…94ecbacked Yes32c369.84$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes24c354.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9816233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes30c333.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes24c326.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.453531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc2…f6b1backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722030%6 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4c…57acbacked Yes29c286.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No73c271$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9925052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes15c261.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3127141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c259.62$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes24c254.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.981,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked No74c252.5$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.064637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6471…42a1backed Yes18c240$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde35…4bc8backed Yes24c235.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b3…8e69backed Yes18c230.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No75c224.75$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9725551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes24c210.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No75c199.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.845156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No70c198.2$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.834564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c191.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.694,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No66c189.21$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.494843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes24c183.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes24c178$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x717a…c7c7backed Yes29c175$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.552035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes25c174.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes24c174.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.781030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes26c169.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.26947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe90…a94fbacked Yes18c169.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes28c160.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c158.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.141,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.845162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes31c155.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.123050%15 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes32c155$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes24c154.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3736036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No68c138.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7442324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Yes30c138.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Yes31c134.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.