TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$672,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$805,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 853 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No45c151,953$67,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,934.721,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes52c76,380$39,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,443.662540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c55,541$26,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,697.9659741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes52c42,094$21,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,205.121850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,199.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No47c30,693$14,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,381.5844647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No47c25,732$12,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,179.6813936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes52c21,714$11,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,322.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c20,290$9,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,036.631,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.924247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes53c10,904$5,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c10,103$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.7191537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.536142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No48c9,999$4,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes52c8,984$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c7,608$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.7588631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c7,047$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.391,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes56c6,738$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes51c6,500$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.849757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Yes55c6,489$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Yes52c6,301$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9613548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No49c5,696$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.848853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No33c5,294$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.2560136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4008223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No47c5,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.983151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9319755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes72c4,806$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.661136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124c…7f95backed Yes52c4,765$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.211216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75f…988dbacked No4c4,602$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…856fbacked Yes57c4,556$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No46c4,415$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No28c4,226$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.1344033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c4,158$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.6736142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9202737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes77c3,822$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa241…45f7backed Yes55c3,654$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+99.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes59c3,377$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.373053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c2,800$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.0743252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes63c2,576$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.121947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c2,537$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.1131847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes59c2,499$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed No48c2,380$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1771…ba73backed Yes52c2,286$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961e…eff2backed Yes53c2,262$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes51c2,046$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No49c1,960$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No45c1,909$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.099858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Yes52c1,906$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7381838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d6b8backed Yes52c1,731$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47b…7b14backed Yes55c1,726$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…610fbacked Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No49c1,690$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Yes52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes64c1,531$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.8313261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No51c1,505$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No31c1,483$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1523031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes67c1,470$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.473863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes57c1,445$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.083554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No48c1,425$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.24027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No47c1,402$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.12437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c1,280$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.7633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes52c1,280$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes55c1,218$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.1811135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes51c1,218$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7428543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes53c1,215$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.151758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes78c1,204$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Yes52c1,183$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.693167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e21…9e3bbacked Yes73c1,166$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…a8bcbacked Yes60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes73c1,137$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.117050%35 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f77…f668backed Yes52c1,125$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8294…0f26backed Yes53c1,121$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes56c1,102$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed No47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed No48c1,073$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Yes52c1,064$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.771957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.69944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5573…d967backed Yes72c1,030$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes52c1,011$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.3713234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc80…ae6fbacked Yes68c1,000$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdde…76b8backed No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed Yes51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No48c999.96$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9813644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.542035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes52c952.83$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.363450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.