Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd2aef005c294cfceba4d5aa980cd843d0f1bce08a58e22fe2260286ae41172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Arsenal FC, Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 225,524$27,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,062.85 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 17,790$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.12 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 7,259$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Arsenal FC | 21c | 4,495$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 3,163$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 3,054$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arsenal FC | 15c | 2,110$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.09 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arsenal FC | 15c | 2,099$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.09 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Arsenal FC | 22c | 1,873$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 1,220$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 1,106$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 77c | 1,047$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…e981backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…e6b9backed Arsenal FC | 21c | 835.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 798.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Arsenal FC | 24c | 784.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Arsenal FC | 23c | 739.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Arsenal FC | 16c | 723.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC | 19c | 680.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 563.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 553.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 531.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arsenal FC | 5c | 500.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 495.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 414.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 407$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 385$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Arsenal FC | 11c | 349.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…36b6backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 343.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 332.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Arsenal FC | 14c | 293.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…34f1backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 292.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Arsenal FC | 9c | 287.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 276.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Arsenal FC | 5c | 265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arsenal FC | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…b8c6backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arsenal FC | 14c | 247.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Arsenal FC | 10c | 239$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 237.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Arsenal FC | 21c | 230.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Arsenal FC | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…16a0backed Arsenal FC | 26c | 215.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 214.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 213.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…ae89backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 182.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +168%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 172.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…53d5backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 161.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…0f81backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 137.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…9cc7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 73c | 137.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 136.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 128.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 127.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 127.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 125.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 119.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Arsenal FC | 10c | 113.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…1771backed Arsenal FC | 15c | 102.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Arsenal FC | 14c | 101.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 100.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Arsenal FC | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…b38abacked Arsenal FC | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…653ebacked Arsenal FC | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7d38backed Arsenal FC | 14c | 93.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Arsenal FC | 12c | 84.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Arsenal FC | 22c | 84.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…da96backed Arsenal FC | 25c | 79.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Arsenal FC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Arsenal FC | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Arsenal FC | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…8e61backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 39.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…22f5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 25.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 74c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.