TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$448,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over78c132,560$103,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,361.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under30c53,964$16,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,126.752955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under11c33,579$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.681717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under20c33,212$6,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,642.3446741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under27c18,095$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c12,338$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.951,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under31c11,508$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c5,853$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.31,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under17c5,763$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.651030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Under24c5,114$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.988836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under29c4,618$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.172240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ee…e8d1backed Over80c4,241$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Under22c4,157$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c3,722$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.4459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under15c3,563$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.432035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over76c3,200$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c2,480$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f61…e259backed Over77c2,467$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.28366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Under17c2,222$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.812114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over71c2,212$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c2,199$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.4872335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under7c2,103$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over73c1,974$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under21c1,956$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6715938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under18c1,922$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.176844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Under25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under29c1,629$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.393429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under29c1,553$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over74c1,518$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.644252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under34c1,416$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.632458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over71c1,413$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.68875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca7…2fffbacked Over71c1,359$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Under31c1,291$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under18c1,252$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.782821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over70c1,250$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3756553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.982850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9810237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under12c1,128$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.418736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c1,118$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.44477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under24c1,100$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.492634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over71c1,100$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under33c1,061$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over74c1,028$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-66.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under28c1,028$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.893050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over76c1,020$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.593560%21 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over79c1,004$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.241136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Over71c986.31$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.031553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c969.96$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9143252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over75c938.89$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.894454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81bc…fcfabacked Under11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under17c881.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.92853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under29c815.94$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over71c800$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over72c780$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over72c759.93$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.781758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under11c701.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0944033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6728639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0050…336cbacked Over70c621.56$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.47875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d7…715dbacked Under32c595.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e5…6f7abacked Over71c569.41$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.13475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c505.58$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5888631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under26c504.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under16c504.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7223031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Over70c500$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under25c499.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8113936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over76c492.16$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over80c490.22$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.041414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-80.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under28c490.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.652437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under30c490$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…a239backed Over72c434.43$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under5c427.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Over69c399.98$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.991560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over75c394.44$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.339762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over76c387.76$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under4c382.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick4cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under10c369.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…fb8fbacked Over71c356.34$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under33c334.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over75c318.16$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.541060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…2a85backed Over71c297.32$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0935…d9efbacked Over71c296.89$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over71c292.81$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9110566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under32c292.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.841435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.