Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e836e7c3441e90352313065a274f4f48eac487ade566517cb09a906e3cc186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb143…f649backed Over | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 5c | 6,815$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.36 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…5672backed Over | 5c | 4,613$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…fca9backed Over | 2c | 4,535$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 5c | 4,187$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f8d6backed Over | 5c | 3,756$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 5c | 2,060$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 4c | 1,985$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 1c | 1,811$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 5c | 1,588$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 5c | 1,433$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 8c | 1,291$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 8c | 1,290$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 5c | 1,285$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Over | 5c | 1,044$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Over | 5c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 5c | 969.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…d02abacked Over | 5c | 689.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Over | 5c | 612.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Over | 5c | 604.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 15cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Over | 5c | 558.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 5c | 545.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…4cb2backed Over | 4c | 541.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 4c | 520.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…9bbebacked Over | 6c | 483.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 5c | 415.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…eea7backed Over | 5c | 405.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 5c | 391.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Over | 4c | 325.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…2e36backed Over | 5c | 300.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…c908backed Over | 8c | 295.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.