TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fa9…5c8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$35.18
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.72
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.86
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.04
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.78
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$70.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.43
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.15
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.71
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.78
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.78
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+297.7%+$37.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$44.24
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.3
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$48.06
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.26
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.