TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44b9…0598backed Under35c2,130$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c1,998$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.44,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Over68c1,756$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd8…8593backed Under1c1,637$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.09450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Over66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under33c1,100$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2415446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af9…eba7backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c842.63$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3361657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over68c795.32$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.282,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under32c659.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.195735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under31c595.92$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6521626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over77c564$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.456575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over68c485.25$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.282259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over69c459.29$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.365072%36 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under32c401.47$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4731745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c390.86$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over59c376.89$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under21c361.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.341540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over48c349.87$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.942045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…9f55backed Under46c313.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over68c289.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.711566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under31c282.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.667644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under13c270.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.936342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.24748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Under35c248.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over69c247.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c230.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6228446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c229.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.081,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Under48c206.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6816745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under37c164.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under34c164.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over67c152.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.24650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+80.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over67c149.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3712650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c9…d064backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over40c125.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.252060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over68c122.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…b159backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over62c97.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.568958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c93.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.341,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Over68c93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.764334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.513958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over73c81.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0559655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcec…13cabacked Over69c81.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.536243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over69c69.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.574165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over65c68.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.851553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over51c66.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over39c64.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Under32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over46c61.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under32c58.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Under46c54.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under38c52.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x696b…8181backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over66c49.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under31c49.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2757252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over67c44.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4910554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Over52c41.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7617458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e9…7b20backed Over69c36.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over57c32.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.023966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Under33c32.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb626…3b64backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993488.2%30 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0dcc…48cfbacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…584abacked Over69c28.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Under57c25.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over69c22.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6688…fdcebacked Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd475…35c5backed Over69c16.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.182277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa84f…5ea2backed Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0df…a1dbbacked Over67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.