La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef65d6153f783e3de1dddb16a6bccf55bf4ea4150134bf250322d21b7f0ac97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 41,526$21,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,420.86 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 48c | 40,018$19,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,108.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 10,210$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.64 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 60c | 9,500$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 7,219$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.25 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 6,147$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.44 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.89 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 3,018$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.35 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 52c | 2,889$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.94 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 2,493$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.78 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 53c | 2,081$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Under | 54c | 1,934$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 54c | 1,825$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.69 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 1,523$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.57 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,512$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.71 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Over | 64c | 1,414$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 54c | 1,265$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,231$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.16 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 1,217$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.95 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 54c | 1,099$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…eba7backed Over | 64c | 735.94$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 41c | 705.54$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 661.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 65c | 610.26$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 600.48$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.85 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 554.38$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 48c | 477$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 65c | 439.38$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 53c | 432.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…4475backed Over | 47c | 395.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 395.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…8b45backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 354.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Under | 59c | 350.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 46c | 344.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 48c | 325.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 59c | 322$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 68c | 314.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…bb08backed Over | 64c | 312.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 66c | 303.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 44c | 294$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 46c | 285.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…af9bbacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 42c | 262.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 61c | 260.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 52c | 223.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…6072backed Under | 46c | 208.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 58c | 208.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Under | 48c | 208.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 54c | 185.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 43c | 176.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Under | 50c | 159.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 154$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…5c75backed Under | 47c | 150.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Under | 54c | 148.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 141.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 76c | 132.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 61c | 130.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 47c | 125.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 116.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 42c | 115.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 64c | 109.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…3380backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 104.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…2b8ebacked Over | 59c | 101.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 74c | 101.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…85a3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…1bf2backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Over | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 63c | 93.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 82.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 47c | 81.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.