La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675cd2f1c30b6dc52820e6751f4987d20358c9152c2622a1deb30445c71afc86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 1,386$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 1,135$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.24 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…95fbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,035$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 864.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8bdbbacked No | 36c | 544.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 65c | 543.48$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 54c | 430.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 65c | 401.04$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 15c | 370.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 358.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…5865backed Yes | 66c | 295.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 18c | 263.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed No | 26c | 186.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…2bbdbacked No | 37c | 182.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 63c | 172.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 172.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Yes | 65c | 155.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 66c | 153.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 66c | 151.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 67c | 149.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…1bf2backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed No | 46c | 98.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…71d6backed No | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 22c | 96.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 62c | 85.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…08c2backed Yes | 65c | 76.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…d86dbacked No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fe33backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Yes | 65c | 60.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 56.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…7be3backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…4bc5backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Yes | 63c | 42.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…4cb0backed No | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…4af2backed No | 37c | 34.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3775…5493backed No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…0415backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c95…0555backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…b6c5backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…6b89backed No | 47c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…a441backed Yes | 65c | 27.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 74c | 25.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f40…df2dbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…db47backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…41f8backed Yes | 65c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.