TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac1…6775

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.37
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$699.07
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nigeria vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Senegal vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$88.38
Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$104.37
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.6%+$121.82
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$166.28
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+84.2%+$84.18
Algeria vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+203%+$103.03
Mozambique vs. Cameroon: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+67.8%+$42.02
Benin vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.28
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+130.6%+$14.82
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$108.1
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$87.23
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Benn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$118.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$102.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.