TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c13,015$5,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c12,998$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…6e34backed Over69c10,165$7,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.11030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c9,099$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.8529343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over52c8,357$4,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.361850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under34c2,593$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.4721444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over55c1,705$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.393818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over65c1,531$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6824539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over39c1,467$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over73c1,444$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under34c1,423$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over73c1,324$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.718261%50 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over59c1,180$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.985529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over43c1,000$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.161323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over64c1,000$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36521444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+143.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over66c754.37$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4917048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under29c577.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.616132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.387864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c562.61$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.041,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c410.64$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.77230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Under28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…6775backed Over68c326.19$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.372948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over37c297.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7f…9127backed Over73c284.86$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over73c273.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under29c238.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.159334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over51c237.41$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.514273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under34c236.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over66c210$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.446453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c181.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c175$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.419845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over66c165$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.113050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over38c150.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.088338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3f…ae42backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under39c139.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.075032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.511748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b27…a815backed Over49c122.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c120.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under34c115.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.214264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Under55c115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.253732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1116535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3410452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over64c96.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.882035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over37c94.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.595139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86958%40 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51f2…fa8fbacked Over37c89.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.191346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over63c85.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3710868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97552%39 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97050%35 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over37c82.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under48c77.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.252445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…6a86backed Under38c72.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over37c70.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.774240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.573647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under41c67.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.389046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8828754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under30c59.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9511552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over68c58.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.973959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over72c57.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.056432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under34c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.684445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Under49c48.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked Under31c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-79.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under35c41.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under40c34.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633050%15 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over36c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8515261.2%93 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad5…bec4backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Over73c27.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd5…5857backed Over71c26.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over65c25.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.886973.9%51 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.