Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3516fac2446c329fa879c01c8f439ace7b86f6c629df44d116be05453e7b1e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 54c | 6,040$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 46c | 5,198$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.75 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 4,920$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.87 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 72c | 1,355$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.74 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 38c | 1,149$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes | 53c | 724.02$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 32c | 317.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 305.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 48c | 268.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 35c | 241.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 50c | 215.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 34c | 177.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…a87dbacked Yes | 35c | 176.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…631dbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 73c | 132.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 38c | 131.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 57c | 114.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 49c | 98.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 96.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d2a7backed Yes | 54c | 96.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 26c | 63.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…008dbacked Yes | 54c | 53.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 50c | 39.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…8369backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 35.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 35c | 32.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9a…fc6ebacked Yes | 47c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba25…18eebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed No | 49c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…102ebacked Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 72c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.