Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9620f3a63634f00581976ab4d2591abc35484d5aded244fc1bebde60d7fd70c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 0c | 53,633$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 2,565$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,706$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Under | 79c | 1,101$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 17c | 587.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 75c | 458.32$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 78c | 444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 78c | 256.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 22c | 206.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Under | 80c | 183.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 33c | 176.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 23c | 154.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 56.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 78c | 48.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 77c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5this page
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.