TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under64c39,537$25,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,320.532065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over36c18,975$6,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,842.2128754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c16,161$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,374.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c12,403$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.856132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over36c4,132$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.4376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c3,900$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Over66c3,621$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.069547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over67c1,993$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under34c1,575$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.86238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under64c1,513$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over37c1,364$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2507…d5f2backed Under77c1,296$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over18c1,000$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.061323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over36c972$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over42c748.39$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.542147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Under60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.673441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over66c606$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.961560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Over26c600.24$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c487.86$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over17c452.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under57c443.98$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over44c400$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c385.58$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…423ebacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c320.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.21,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13210033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under58c286.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1317048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over38c258.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.383441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Over42c236.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over37c227.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over13c215.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over28c210.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.734240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c210$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.446453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over65c199.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under56c165$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under56c165$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.613050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6367354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over67c149.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760e…bcfebacked Over37c136.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Over45c130.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.191258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over43c127$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6131554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5511748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over27c118.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.671338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over41c117.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under57c115.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8111552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7994…6a86backed Over40c97.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x647b…5750backed Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under59c96.8$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.698359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over40c88.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.89046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over31c87.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.772025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.46051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.47450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.46852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.46349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.47552%39 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.47050%35 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under58c84.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over44c82.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.114264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e94…a87dbacked Over37c80.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over41c79.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Over46c77.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.872152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Under66c75.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.236100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over41c68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-63.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under62c62.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…ffb3backed Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked Over36c59.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-79.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over38c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211939.5%47 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over38c54.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.845032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over29c54.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8210740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Over40c52.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under75c51.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.996958%40 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…a96dbacked Over40c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc651…98efbacked Over58c42.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over36c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147665.8%50 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Over45c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.341560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under69c35.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.173050%15 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked Over40c31.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over52c31.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under62c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.784445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Over68c29.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.