UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb0e8a178d26a8b4bd4df80b615fe7fc11c319302c0f6c52c122e06d518af10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pratesof Edwards, Prates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $931,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Edwards | 36c | 92,026$33,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,521.24 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Prates | 64c | 80,000$51,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Prates | 59c | 75,000$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,749.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Prates | 56c | 72,293$40,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,600.13 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Edwards | 40c | 46,604$18,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,641.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Edwards | 41c | 43,385$17,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,771.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Prates | 61c | 40,000$24,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,700.05 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Edwards | 39c | 37,243$14,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,453.15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Prates | 59c | 35,990$21,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,865.68 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Edwards | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Edwards | 39c | 25,000$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,849.98 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Prates | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.98 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Edwards | 41c | 19,512$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Prates | 60c | 16,713$10,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…8536backed Edwards | 42c | 14,889$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Edwards | 40c | 14,845$6,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.05 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Edwards | 41c | 12,046$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Prates | 60c | 11,740$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.29 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…7258backed Prates | 62c | 11,258$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Edwards | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Edwards | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Prates | 59c | 10,000$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Prates | 61c | 9,836$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Edwards | 44c | 9,661$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Edwards | 41c | 9,658$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Prates | 60c | 9,215$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.89 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Prates | 60c | 8,412$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.28 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Edwards | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Edwards | 39c | 8,000$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Prates | 61c | 7,821$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.39 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Prates | 62c | 7,560$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Prates | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Edwards | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Prates | 58c | 7,310$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Edwards | 40c | 7,298$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.2 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Prates | 61c | 7,221$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.49 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…9867backed Prates | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…be2cbacked Edwards | 40c | 6,994$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Prates | 57c | 6,658$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.46 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Edwards | 40c | 6,401$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Prates | 52c | 5,900$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Edwards | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Prates | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Edwards | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Prates | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Prates | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Prates | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Edwards | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Edwards | 40c | 4,782$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.92 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Prates | 63c | 4,767$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Edwards | 41c | 4,135$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Edwards | 42c | 3,621$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.44 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Edwards | 44c | 3,572$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Edwards | 41c | 3,571$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.22 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Prates | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Edwards | 41c | 3,450$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.49 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Prates | 60c | 3,395$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.9 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Prates | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed Edwards | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Prates | 64c | 3,277$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Prates | 55c | 3,269$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Prates | 59c | 3,167$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.79 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Prates | 61c | 3,152$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.08 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Prates | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Prates | 61c | 2,863$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.53 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Edwards | 40c | 2,856$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Edwards | 40c | 2,670$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.29 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Edwards | 40c | 2,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Prates | 55c | 2,552$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.6 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Prates | 57c | 2,550$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Edwards | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Edwards | 41c | 2,520$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.2 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Prates | 76c | 2,402$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Prates | 61c | 2,342$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…0b9bbacked Edwards | 42c | 2,319$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Edwards | 38c | 2,175$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.49 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Prates | 58c | 2,136$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.48 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Edwards | 43c | 2,028$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.4 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…4c3ebacked Edwards | 3c | 2,008$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Edwards | 60c | 2,000$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.68 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Prates | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Prates | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Prates | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Edwards | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Prates | 60c | 1,987$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Edwards | 40c | 1,982$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Edwards | 66c | 1,966$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Edwards | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Edwards | 38c | 1,778$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.46 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Edwards | 55c | 1,750$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.5 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…e751backed Prates | 60c | 1,747$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Prates | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Edwards | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Prates | 59c | 1,531$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Edwards | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Edwards | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Edwards | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Prates | 60c | 1,494$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.67 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Prates | 60c | 1,480$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Edwards | 38c | 1,315$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Leon Edwards win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.