Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6591373772536e4c2a20a190fb7469ad5920c8a7dbf9744ca49220a29c530b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf65d…9e25backed Yes | 0c | 110,557$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 13,860$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 9,872$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.74 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 43c | 9,412$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 56c | 8,431$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.71 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 6,134$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.37 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 5,332$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.31 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 57c | 5,116$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.28 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 4,782$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.25 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 4,736$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.33 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 4,121$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.76 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 4,027$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 34c | 3,940$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 3,316$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.66 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 47c | 3,294$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.15 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12a6backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 41c | 2,806$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.48 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 47c | 2,767$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,701$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,575$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.48 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 57c | 2,520$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 2,467$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.7 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,212$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Yes | 38c | 2,117$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 36c | 1,999$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed Yes | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 51c | 1,850$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 43c | 1,682$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.56 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.32 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 38c | 1,599$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 36c | 1,386$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 58c | 1,371$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 46c | 1,363$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,334$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 49c | 1,230$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 58c | 1,126$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ff…c233backed Yes | 1c | 1,021$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 47c | 988.91$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 866.48$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.22 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 35c | 830.28$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 54c | 809.55$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 58c | 802.04$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 42c | 800$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 38c | 779.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 36c | 775.14$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 742.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 55c | 709.11$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 45c | 655$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 605$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 21c | 586.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 36c | 580.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…8fcabacked Yes | 43c | 578.26$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 569$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 568$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 34c | 539.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…93f5backed Yes | 43c | 502.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 47c | 423.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 47c | 421.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 64c | 393.53$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 41c | 389.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 385.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 36c | 382.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 51c | 380.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…acb3backed Yes | 42c | 377.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 20c | 350$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…6136backed Yes | 35c | 348.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…17acbacked Yes | 50c | 344.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 42c | 257.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 36c | 250.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…0fa4backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…3275backed Yes | 38c | 249.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 32c | 246.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…a26dbacked Yes | 47c | 242.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed Yes | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 45c | 216.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 43c | 213$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 36c | 209.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Egypt vs. Nigeria end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.