TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf65d…9e25backed Yes0c66,500$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Yes0c56,780$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes34c8,676$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.921,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c8,596$6,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c3,996$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.81,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c3,912$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.411,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c3,779$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…b414backed Yes23c2,177$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c2,021$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No77c1,996$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac36…e266backed Yes28c1,329$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes10c1,203$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.586333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Yes26c1,160$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.491435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes18c1,109$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.892138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes22c1,057$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9728754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c1,041$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c975.53$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5110748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No75c874$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Yes18c855.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes20c711.85$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.371136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes29c681$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.459145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No76c657.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.95044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes5c607.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.67128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c498.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8398…6136backed Yes25c478.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes35c475.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4522656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No80c403.32$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No75c402.26$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5610630.2%32 W · 74 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x282b…9287backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c379$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.412,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes24c354.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No75c344.77$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1912657.1%72 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…acb3backed Yes24c316.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.04742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc61b…7d1fbacked Yes20c266.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb900…fd2abacked Yes19c263.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes23c256.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.64411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No71c243.66$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.671637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes24c214.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5df…c7debacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed No74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes23c197.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes14c190.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes11c178.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011526.1%30 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes18c158.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.453033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3339621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes17c109$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes14c106$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.283132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd175…62f8backed Yes23c104.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d21…b038backed Yes19c100.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No75c100.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.693056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011263.4%71 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8e…723fbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f26…ecc2backed Yes23c96.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No79c90.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.945032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes24c83.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda86…f276backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes37c80.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes22c80.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes19c79.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No76c79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9616755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf2…eefabacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+224.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f4…3c57backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…2b47backed Yes26c73.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Yes22c72.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.882254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2e8…0d3abacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5f…0ff4backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a83…f7e0backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.575950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c2…a266backed No77c65.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117630.1%53 W · 123 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x282c…13f2backed Yes28c57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No76c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.692065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fa…4f99backed Yes26c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes24c41.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012744.1%56 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe00d…f03fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.360%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f5…1770backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed No76c24.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No75c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7510558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c4…0f96backed No73c19.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.166250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No74c14.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.783080%24 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.