TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No54c32,618$17,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,538.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c21,285$4,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,965.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114b…7bc9backed Yes25c20,049$4,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,055.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c18,059$13,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,447.471,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c16,930$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,516.1130031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No75c15,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,249.991457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c12,609$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,348.9217338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Yes73c10,304$7,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c9,673$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.3935942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No46c7,500$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479.8919150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c7,255$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.6428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c7,090$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes55c6,867$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No27c6,319$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.151040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c5,801$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.8823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c5,623$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.3321444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No33c5,508$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.472317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes25c4,065$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+65.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed No28c3,573$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No4c3,189$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.691225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c3,023$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3631,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes27c3,006$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.464751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c3,000$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.971,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c2,862$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.715349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Yes27c2,745$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes53c2,714$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.666154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes66c2,069$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.4515763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x635f…3f51backed Yes79c1,932$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes56c1,782$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes25c1,688$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2661650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes67c1,596$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.332462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes69c1,579$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.365040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No76c1,500$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1405466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes51c1,455$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.45825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b4…f541backed Yes65c1,384$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,288$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.0955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No32c1,280$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6521444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes71c1,239$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No42c1,158$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.061850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c1,130$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.217851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No51c1,096$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes59c1,030$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.373171%22 W · 9 L+7.1wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf404…5d9fbacked Yes29c1,024$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed No28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7407045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.994734%16 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.993834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+143.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2994…fde2backed Yes26c998.96$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes50c873$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.771450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes79c819.33$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17532656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No75c799.99$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.9911646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No47c749.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.55248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No75c523.9$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.933748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…5086backed Yes26c503.58$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes26c446.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.673145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No43c413.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1784447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No76c413.16$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes73c400.02$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.561060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed No18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e16…cca1backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8d…8a67backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed No17c399.13$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2511331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes24c391.75$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+177.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No35c385.78$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13660%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dee…d2bbbacked Yes63c382.87$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.871154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked No42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605961%36 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3729138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No24c358.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.985032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes77c340.16$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.215547.3%26 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes25c336$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2523737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes40c323$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8167354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes52c307.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.792045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ad…3cdbbacked Yes26c301.92$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb07…1c15backed Yes34c296.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.052969%20 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes24c291.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.675334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No62c290$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802085%17 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No60c289$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.656578.5%51 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1aa0…ab7dbacked Yes26c286.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Yes25c272$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83b…b043backed Yes29c258.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f9…e502backed Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.53441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No74c245.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.184264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x462e…e6b2backed Yes24c241.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Yes25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked Yes52c233.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.162751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b76…a3b1backed Yes69c217.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No18c216$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.473732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No75c210$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.539749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef89…2bc5backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+93.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.