TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8e2…2cc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT12960.5%78 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.8
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$32.15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.22
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.9
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$53.54
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+79.1%+$22.08
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$105.3
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+39.9%+$5.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.8%+$59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$115.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+149.2%+$73.04
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+39.9%+$19.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$423.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+155.1%+$144.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+43.4%+$52.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+683.7%+$142.2
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.82
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$496.75
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+124.7%+$27.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$112.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+701.8%+$485.9
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$507.61
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 9INE (BO3)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nexus (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+25.5%+$14.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$784.64
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+46.3%+$19.04
Will Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+87.5%+$42
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.4%+$57.3
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.61
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.63
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$218.32
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.3%+$61.42
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+120.6%+$163.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.4%+$61.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37.2%+$108.56
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+30%+$32.99
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.4%+$86.47
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+39.5%+$157.02
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Egypt vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.4%+$4.55
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+68.3%+$142
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+129%+$56.33
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.85
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+73.9%+$46.32
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.2%+$40.72
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$55.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vejle BK vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.