NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a852d5cf0664a90b46b574c6ce54065418d7db92ed3f355bbd5fa5e49015bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.9 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 22,958$11,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,020 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…2e27backed Under | 48c | 18,463$8,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,862.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 12,126$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.52 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 10,958$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 10,436$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.24 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 48c | 5,396$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…05a2backed Under | 48c | 4,886$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,744$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…cad8backed Over | 51c | 4,428$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…d8ecbacked Over | 51c | 3,755$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…9487backed Over | 51c | 3,755$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…056ebacked Over | 51c | 3,733$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 25c | 3,677$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…079cbacked Over | 52c | 3,507$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…c8b5backed Over | 51c | 3,455$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…3435backed Over | 51c | 3,406$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…1a79backed Over | 51c | 3,356$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…2fe1backed Over | 51c | 3,355$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…fdbcbacked Over | 51c | 3,344$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…f6fcbacked Over | 51c | 3,005$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 2,875$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…560abacked Under | 49c | 2,792$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,709$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.33 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 2,556$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…8da8backed Under | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…c12dbacked Over | 51c | 2,513$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…bd31backed Over | 51c | 2,455$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under | 48c | 2,442$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 2,299$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.28 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…4133backed Under | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…7df1backed Over | 51c | 2,213$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 34c | 2,120$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.31 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…a1f7backed Under | 49c | 2,105$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…4008backed Under | 49c | 2,066$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…6627backed Under | 49c | 2,011$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…9c64backed Over | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…6eedbacked Under | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…4c79backed Under | 49c | 1,988$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…d35cbacked Under | 49c | 1,944$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…77fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…51bdbacked Under | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 1,889$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.83 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,883$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,862$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.73 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…0cf2backed Under | 49c | 1,833$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da0…dc6abacked Under | 49c | 1,833$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…9173backed Under | 49c | 1,832$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…adfdbacked Over | 51c | 1,828$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…f36ebacked Under | 49c | 1,823$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…40e2backed Under | 49c | 1,822$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…c87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,822$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,777$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…e39abacked Under | 49c | 1,758$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…543dbacked Under | 49c | 1,688$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…36bcbacked Under | 49c | 1,647$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…eef8backed Under | 49c | 1,622$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 47c | 1,613$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.99 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…2336backed Under | 49c | 1,525$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…b817backed Under | 49c | 1,459$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…2dddbacked Under | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…e4aebacked Under | 49c | 1,420$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…6c64backed Under | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f0…0758backed Under | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,210$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 1,210$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,012$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 48c | 927$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 918$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.64 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 862.5$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 851.06$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Under | 38c | 831.86$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 771.32$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 651.24$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.05 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 622.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 606$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 48c | 459$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 329.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…92a3backed Under | 49c | 319$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 297.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 274.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 247.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Under | 52c | 240.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 34c | 212.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 48c | 208.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…389bbacked Under | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 168.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. HeatLakers won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.