NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a31c7ee9f8a7d6d6b5e94ea41e719f83d28c4b989f965d314c9e1c651cab3af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,648 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 10,277$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 8,937$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 8,041$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 6,327$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 6,160$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.8 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 4,711$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.62 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…13c3backed Under | 47c | 4,600$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9218…0c29backed Under | 47c | 4,078$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…8b9bbacked Over | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 3,656$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.21 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,611$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.5 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…27dabacked Under | 47c | 3,155$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…f4eabacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,515$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…92a3backed Under | 47c | 2,471$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…6627backed Over | 53c | 2,414$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…4c79backed Over | 53c | 2,316$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…2b22backed Over | 53c | 2,288$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…4008backed Under | 47c | 2,233$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…f36ebacked Over | 53c | 2,155$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…6eedbacked Under | 47c | 2,121$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…6c64backed Under | 47c | 2,112$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…d22cbacked Over | 53c | 2,088$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Under | 47c | 2,025$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…0cf2backed Under | 47c | 2,022$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…543dbacked Over | 53c | 2,020$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…2dddbacked Over | 53c | 1,959$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…36bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,959$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…eef8backed Over | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4780…60e2backed Over | 53c | 1,926$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…40e2backed Under | 47c | 1,922$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdee…c456backed Over | 53c | 1,911$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 1,884$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…9173backed Under | 47c | 1,844$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…db6ebacked Over | 53c | 1,766$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…14d5backed Over | 53c | 1,655$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…29fbbacked Over | 53c | 1,655$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…b817backed Under | 47c | 1,633$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f0…0758backed Over | 53c | 1,632$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…5301backed Over | 53c | 1,544$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 47c | 1,528$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.94 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,519$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 1,396$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 51c | 1,265$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.15 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 51c | 727$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 726$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 643.03$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 568.61$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Under | 45c | 488$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 53c | 435.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 425$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 413$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 393.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 390.43$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…f9a5backed Over | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 292.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Over | 52c | 286.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x650c…0a9fbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 243.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 54c | 240.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 230.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 51c | 215.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 51c | 212.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 210.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 68c | 209.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…6b91backed Under | 45c | 197.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 48c | 180.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 179.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 51c | 179.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 32c | 165.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 51c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Over | 51c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…f6fcbacked Over | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…c04fbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…5530backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…adfdbacked Under | 47c | 144$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…c8b5backed Under | 47c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…cad8backed Under | 47c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…fdbcbacked Under | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…2fe1backed Over | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…1a79backed Over | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Over | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 106.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…3435backed Over | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. HeatLakers won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.