NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b148f883db1348f056776fdfa9dc409c09dd30b141fcee7cdefe5eeb6d168f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,278 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 40,210$20,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,105.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 29,446$14,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,267.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Under | 54c | 28,516$15,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,398.68 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 50c | 14,632$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,362.37 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 10,801$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,554.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 7,078$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.34 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,864$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.34 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 6,582$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 3,169$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 47c | 1,890$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.85 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Under | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 51c | 1,776$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,556$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.15 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 46c | 1,315$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.22 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 1,311$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.94 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,145$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,025$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 46c | 1,006$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.24 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 726.56$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 619.07$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 46c | 617.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.27 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 539$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Under | 49c | 496.04$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 454.13$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 51c | 421.18$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 46c | 416.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 52c | 265.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 258.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 49c | 253.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 35c | 236.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 51c | 195.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 191.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 167.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 157$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 46c | 136.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 132$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…c391backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 14c | 90.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Over | 52c | 65.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 58.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 46c | 57.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 51c | 57.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…b560backed Under | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…f01cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 48c | 48.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 51c | 47.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Under | 50c | 43.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 37.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 34.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 32.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Over | 46c | 28.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 51c | 28.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…c47bbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 51c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Under | 51c | 24.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 20.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Over | 49c | 20.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. HeatLakers won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.