NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06707a5317654a573e0ed4879d0c81071de1a94b0cd3cb007c7ec32ebe359885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,049,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,049,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,018 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 66c | 236,738$155,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,511.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 43c | 232,558$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,558.14 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lakers | 43c | 219,254$94,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,743.97 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat | 51c | 218,331$111,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,010.65 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 42c | 110,516$46,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,928.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Lakers | 37c | 101,073$37,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,421.36 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 42c | 100,104$42,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,060.55 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Lakers | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,999.95 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 42c | 93,826$39,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,419.15 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 66c | 90,999$60,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,059.59 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 69c | 89,316$61,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,218.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 57c | 89,000$51,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,119.85 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Heat | 58c | 79,157$45,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,911.06 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 37c | 75,506$27,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,874.73 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 64c | 74,796$48,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,220.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Lakers | 42c | 65,000$27,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,849.91 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 34c | 64,881$22,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,667.36 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Heat | 60c | 63,140$37,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,866.4 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 60c | 60,100$35,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,845.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,200 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 42c | 57,306$24,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,164.38 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 39c | 56,145$21,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,419.02 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 41c | 50,814$20,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,088.89 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 59c | 50,562$29,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,713.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Heat | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 64c | 50,000$32,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,099.88 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat | 64c | 50,000$32,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,099.77 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Heat | 62c | 47,228$29,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,281.47 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Heat | 56c | 47,001$26,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,312.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 41c | 45,369$18,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,818.07 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 57c | 44,858$25,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,356.63 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Lakers | 59c | 43,786$25,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,070.26 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 60c | 42,653$25,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,393.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 38c | 40,890$15,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers | 41c | 36,819$14,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,890.88 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Heat | 68c | 36,644$24,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,917.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Heat | 64c | 35,646$22,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,813.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Heat | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…4c42backed Heat | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,099.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 31c | 29,999$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,757.72 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers | 40c | 29,900$11,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,939 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 63c | 29,540$18,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,609.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Heat | 55c | 29,262$16,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,094.36 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 63c | 28,319$17,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,772.05 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Lakers | 42c | 28,130$11,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,262.29 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 37c | 28,015$10,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,719.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Heat | 68c | 27,942$19,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,056.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 43c | 27,938$11,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,969.74 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…9ba9backed Lakers | 32c | 27,131$8,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,358.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3dfcbacked Heat | 69c | 25,746$17,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,664.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Lakers | 34c | 25,667$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,940.22 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 31c | 24,952$7,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,225.39 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 57c | 24,205$13,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,825.11 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Heat | 60c | 23,600$14,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,087.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 61c | 23,121$14,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,141.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 33c | 21,136$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,083.72 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Heat | 59c | 19,640$11,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,491.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Lakers | 45c | 19,320$8,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,626 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heat | 57c | 18,888$10,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,766.14 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heat | 63c | 18,850$11,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,910 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Lakers | 44c | 18,813$8,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,472.49 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 54c | 18,420$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.77 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 59c | 17,898$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,624.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 53c | 17,821$9,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,365.35 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heat | 58c | 17,330$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.4 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 60c | 17,191$10,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,351.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Heat | 67c | 17,131$11,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,408.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Heat | 59c | 16,925$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,017.13 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 42c | 16,724$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,694.7 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 68c | 16,327$11,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,037.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers | 43c | 16,279$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,279.07 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed Lakers | 34c | 16,195$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,694.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 58c | 16,090$9,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Heat | 65c | 16,000$10,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,459.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 57c | 15,726$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.57 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Heat | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Lakers | 43c | 14,813$6,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,394.04 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Lakers | 34c | 14,700$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,702 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 55c | 14,386$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970.06 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Heat | 62c | 13,580$8,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,425.84 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Lakers | 34c | 13,497$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,908.06 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 57c | 13,333$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.81 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Lakers | 39c | 12,638$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.18 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 67c | 12,631$8,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,504.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Lakers | 36c | 12,400$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,976.22 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Heat | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 64c | 12,066$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.83 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…930cbacked Lakers | 36c | 11,789$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 58c | 11,050$6,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,409 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Heat | 68c | 11,000$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,492.18 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Lakers | 43c | 11,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 59c | 10,931$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Lakers | 32c | 10,630$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 35c | 10,626$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,918.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 37c | 10,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Lakers | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Heat | 68c | 10,000$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,769.96 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Heat | 58c | 9,946$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.65 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.