NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ea32a93b12477f8b8060148490969e07cf401e1bf9a4fc1c79e10d8b71c6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,340 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Over | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…b8c3backed Over | 52c | 9,660$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0b…d4c4backed Over | 52c | 9,584$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…b75bbacked Over | 52c | 9,347$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…0c47backed Under | 48c | 9,346$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…5e25backed Over | 52c | 9,171$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…d294backed Under | 48c | 8,670$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…1cdabacked Over | 52c | 6,433$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…ecfebacked Over | 52c | 6,196$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…98ddbacked Under | 48c | 6,160$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…4db1backed Under | 48c | 6,120$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…a7ffbacked Under | 48c | 6,014$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…3be5backed Under | 48c | 5,956$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…d108backed Under | 48c | 5,952$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…818abacked Over | 52c | 5,906$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…a8acbacked Under | 48c | 5,825$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…f881backed Under | 48c | 5,823$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…028ebacked Under | 48c | 5,628$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…facbbacked Over | 52c | 5,529$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…5d2cbacked Over | 52c | 5,482$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3967…d863backed Under | 48c | 5,422$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…2f9abacked Under | 48c | 5,421$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…4520backed Under | 48c | 5,292$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…afe0backed Over | 52c | 5,176$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…8460backed Over | 52c | 5,150$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…838abacked Over | 52c | 5,145$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…cf1ebacked Under | 48c | 5,114$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…2f58backed Over | 52c | 5,036$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…da20backed Over | 52c | 4,968$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf620…f17bbacked Under | 48c | 4,948$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…1380backed Under | 48c | 4,948$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…aea4backed Under | 48c | 4,839$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…6c28backed Under | 48c | 4,790$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…5150backed Under | 48c | 4,758$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ca…7ecabacked Under | 48c | 4,572$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…02c2backed Under | 48c | 4,550$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…f5c2backed Under | 48c | 4,493$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c4…c922backed Over | 52c | 4,477$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…81c7backed Under | 48c | 4,269$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f440backed Over | 52c | 4,046$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…6cbcbacked Under | 48c | 3,542$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…b799backed Under | 48c | 3,358$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…f8f5backed Over | 52c | 3,343$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 3,264$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…d380backed Over | 52c | 3,254$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Over | 55c | 3,248$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c3…b68cbacked Over | 52c | 3,241$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 47c | 3,203$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…5e69backed Under | 48c | 3,164$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 3,132$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…1c79backed Over | 52c | 3,060$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…8ff6backed Under | 48c | 3,037$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…a155backed Over | 52c | 2,956$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5a2abacked Over | 52c | 2,899$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545c…3b68backed Over | 52c | 2,852$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 2,840$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.88 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…5f4dbacked Under | 48c | 2,785$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…e21fbacked Under | 48c | 2,714$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…7ce7backed Over | 52c | 2,694$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…36babacked Under | 48c | 2,623$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…f5adbacked Under | 48c | 2,482$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…a367backed Under | 48c | 2,469$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…8b3abacked Under | 48c | 2,443$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…35e2backed Under | 48c | 2,411$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dc…ae0dbacked Under | 43c | 2,366$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55eb…2d96backed Under | 48c | 2,357$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…8f6abacked Under | 48c | 2,341$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…e7f6backed Under | 48c | 2,329$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…035abacked Over | 52c | 2,329$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…3125backed Under | 48c | 2,315$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f0…82dcbacked Under | 48c | 2,302$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…3dd4backed Under | 48c | 2,302$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 2,299$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa0…0473backed Under | 48c | 2,298$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…3aaabacked Under | 48c | 2,298$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…3ce9backed Over | 52c | 2,298$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b4…4328backed Under | 48c | 2,297$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…44afbacked Under | 48c | 2,297$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…4776backed Under | 48c | 2,296$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…1b84backed Over | 52c | 2,291$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…8beabacked Over | 52c | 2,279$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…2c7cbacked Under | 48c | 2,277$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…8f82backed Under | 48c | 2,276$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7697…fd39backed Under | 48c | 2,274$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…852dbacked Under | 48c | 2,274$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…9dd7backed Under | 48c | 2,272$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…1ff5backed Over | 52c | 2,266$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…d74cbacked Under | 43c | 2,266$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…8efdbacked Over | 52c | 2,257$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…ebd0backed Over | 52c | 2,257$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…9ad0backed Under | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…f4f6backed Under | 48c | 2,254$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9d87backed Under | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…3c3bbacked Under | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…333bbacked Under | 43c | 2,236$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…3016backed Under | 48c | 2,232$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5829backed Under | 48c | 2,229$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2b…cb9dbacked Under | 48c | 2,217$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,209$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.88 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…b6fabacked Under | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. HeatLakers won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.