TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x353e…9db2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$184.93
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.4
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.75
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.59
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.03
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.8
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.33
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.08
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.92
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.55
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.49
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.6
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$138.42
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.22
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.51
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.51
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$184.54
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.93
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.63
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.1%+$21.83
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.1%+$19.63
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+60.3%+$30.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$82.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+32.2%+$24.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.74
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.45
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+197%+$126.69
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$477.66
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,283.3%+$952.91
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$830.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+149%+$280
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.66
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.53
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$105.59
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$715.38
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.68
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.46
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.72
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.03
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.94
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.37
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.16
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$20.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$433.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$687.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$35.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+277.2%+$174.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955.64
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.11
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.77
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,554.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,686Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+234.3%+$6,294.78
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$185.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.66
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Spread: Brown Bears (-1.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.28
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.28
Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-7.5)backed Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85%+$147.97
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$72.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.21
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$14.76
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.55
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$45.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+423%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+81%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.68
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$31.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150.5%+$43.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$22.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.