CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c108bb236325252062f27dc5c0cf7d74063a44f3ca196ee738bba3be2949f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,370 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked paiN | 0c | 112,710$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN | 46c | 93,361$42,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,558.49 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed TheMongolz | 55c | 41,170$22,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,645.63 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed TheMongolz | 54c | 26,345$14,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,118.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 45c | 20,045$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120.23 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed paiN | 36c | 13,990$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 54c | 12,747$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.86 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 11,870$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.54 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked paiN | 63c | 11,521$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz | 55c | 10,595$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.58 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 53c | 9,785$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed TheMongolz | 55c | 8,875$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 7,569$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.41 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed paiN | 48c | 7,037$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.69 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 55c | 6,910$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz | 55c | 6,400$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked paiN | 5c | 6,281$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 5,736$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.12 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz | 49c | 5,346$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.68 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 53c | 5,303$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.51 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed TheMongolz | 51c | 5,003$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.82 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed TheMongolz | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed paiN | 62c | 4,826$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 52c | 4,693$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.38 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed TheMongolz | 55c | 4,045$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.99 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed paiN | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 3,550$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.27 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 3,426$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.67 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 50c | 3,130$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 3,080$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.17 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 51c | 3,076$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.78 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 22c | 2,500$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.02 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked paiN | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.56 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz | 59c | 2,200$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed TheMongolz | 55c | 2,094$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.3 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 2,040$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.15 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…d235backed paiN | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked paiN | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked paiN | 46c | 1,991$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.69 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…77a8backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,936$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed paiN | 54c | 1,806$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.78 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,761$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.83 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 1,720$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.88 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked paiN | 48c | 1,705$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.64 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN | 45c | 1,674$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.47 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,425$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.81 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed TheMongolz | 13c | 1,362$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,328$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked paiN | 50c | 1,294$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed TheMongolz | 53c | 1,261$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.16 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed paiN | 47c | 1,223$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,219$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.98 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 35c | 1,127$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed paiN | 45c | 1,100$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,047$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.99 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,013$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.78 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed paiN | 35c | 1,009$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.02 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,008$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.58 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 62c | 1,003$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed paiN | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed paiN | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked paiN | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 998.18$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.18 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed paiN | 46c | 923.91$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz | 79c | 912$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked TheMongolz | 66c | 910$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked paiN | 52c | 819.23$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed TheMongolz | 12c | 816.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.62 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked TheMongolz | 46c | 780.02$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.38 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed TheMongolz | 57c | 667.96$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 64c | 664.09$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed paiN | 48c | 655$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed paiN | 47c | 636.17$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked paiN | 59c | 625.68$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 51c | 609.25$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 602.25$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed paiN | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed paiN | 58c | 589.66$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 579$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed paiN | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed paiN | 36c | 573.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN | 46c | 553.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed TheMongolz | 55c | 541.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 538.71$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed TheMongolz | 74c | 523.1$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed paiN | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed paiN | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked TheMongolz | 77c | 497.45$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed paiN | 44c | 490$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked TheMongolz | 56c | 490$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz | 47c | 478$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.91 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked paiN | 52c | 477.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 477.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…3cbdbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed paiN | 51c | 439.63$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…7cbbbacked paiN | 44c | 429$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked TheMongolz | 53c | 428.68$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.