CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2cd3b6ba5c48f95460248ee29d9649738e5cf0fc61364678dc00ba83db3232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,681 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz | 38c | 1,325$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.5 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed paiN | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked paiN | 60c | 818.52$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.11 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 795.2$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed paiN | 62c | 275.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 269.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked paiN | 65c | 246.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed TheMongolz | 37c | 229.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked TheMongolz | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 38c | 190.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed paiN | 73c | 174.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed paiN | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed TheMongolz | 37c | 54.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed TheMongolz | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked paiN | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed paiN | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed paiN | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked paiN | 66c | 45.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed TheMongolz | 38c | 41.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked TheMongolz | 33c | 39.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed paiN | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed paiN | 79c | 30.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…7b24backed paiN | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.