CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16dcaaafa524caa11b8c941ae14179daad5c9a7c87e8858e93b8f7647d01d791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,228 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed TheMongolz | 68c | 14,064$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked paiN | 0c | 13,020$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 11,816$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.26 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed paiN | 34c | 10,094$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.56 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN | 44c | 8,405$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.41 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed TheMongolz | 64c | 8,277$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.64 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked paiN | 36c | 6,222$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.92 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked paiN | 44c | 5,389$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.33 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed paiN | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…d235backed paiN | 38c | 5,000$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed paiN | 31c | 4,882$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.13 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked TheMongolz | 57c | 4,662$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.19 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN | 43c | 3,977$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.74 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 3,640$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.57 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 46c | 3,627$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked paiN | 47c | 3,245$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz | 62c | 3,125$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.49 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 47c | 2,844$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.3 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked paiN | 20c | 2,839$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 2,676$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.85 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 65c | 2,337$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed paiN | 36c | 2,290$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.89 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 2,187$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.74 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 41c | 2,170$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.58 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed paiN | 49c | 2,057$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 64c | 2,000$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed paiN | 52c | 1,940$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 47c | 1,898$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.77 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 40c | 1,723$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.43 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed paiN | 60c | 1,713$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.49 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed TheMongolz | 58c | 1,489$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed TheMongolz | 66c | 1,405$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.75 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed paiN | 36c | 1,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed paiN | 37c | 1,384$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.43 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 21c | 1,250$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz | 65c | 1,207$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.38 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 1,200$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.8 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz | 64c | 1,200$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.9 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed paiN | 35c | 1,010$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed paiN | 6c | 992.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 42c | 989.42$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed TheMongolz | 62c | 936.63$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 915$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked paiN | 35c | 892$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed paiN | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…ce61backed TheMongolz | 33c | 690$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.3 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked paiN | 12c | 629.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked paiN | 37c | 600$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed paiN | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 596.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…c264backed paiN | 12c | 596.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed paiN | 35c | 586.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…3cbdbacked paiN | 16c | 575$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked paiN | 55c | 550.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 528.78$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed paiN | 37c | 505$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed TheMongolz | 62c | 505$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed paiN | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…9594backed TheMongolz | 65c | 381.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed paiN | 27c | 374.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed paiN | 44c | 326.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 315.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed paiN | 34c | 304.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked paiN | 49c | 303.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 45c | 271.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed paiN | 26c | 248.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed TheMongolz | 65c | 238.63$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…29d1backed TheMongolz | 48c | 231.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…67e2backed TheMongolz | 43c | 229.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 204.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed paiN | 49c | 201$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed paiN | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…4bc4backed paiN | 37c | 194.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN | 39c | 179.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked TheMongolz | 55c | 172.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed TheMongolz | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed TheMongolz | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed TheMongolz | 66c | 151.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked paiN | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TheMongolz | 65c | 145.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…3b9fbacked paiN | 7c | 144.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked TheMongolz | 65c | 141$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 44c | 131.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…5fecbacked paiN | 12c | 130.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN | 40c | 116$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed TheMongolz | 43c | 115.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed TheMongolz | 55c | 115.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN | 39c | 110.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed paiN | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked paiN | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked paiN | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.