TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcceb…9594

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT5058%29 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$279.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$115
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$35.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$208.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$105
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.8
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$39.08
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$302.06
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.1%+$372.73
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.5%+$56.25
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,441Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25.7%+$626.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+68.1%+$324
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$192
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+86.9%+$93
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100.69
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+68.1%+$136.36
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+153.2%+$45.95
LoL: Galions vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36.92
LoL: Solary vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+118.7%+$88.97
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$342.19
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$45.37
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.7%+$315.53
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.08
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$82.69
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$67.29
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+94%+$106.6
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$107.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$150.65
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$150.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$267.8
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.3%+$105.58
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$36.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+54.1%+$70.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.