CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c7d371bd946225ca27b20afd53cf3444c077b708fae037199ca3eafae8d03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,425 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed paiN | 29c | 24,220$6,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,936.02 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked FURIA | 71c | 9,521$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FURIA | 71c | 7,879$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.77 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed paiN | 30c | 5,631$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.29 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 70c | 5,533$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.93 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed FURIA | 75c | 2,880$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.55 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed paiN | 6c | 2,600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 13c | 2,445$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 28c | 2,286$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.03 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA | 71c | 2,154$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.76 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…c40fbacked paiN | 10c | 2,004$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FURIA | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked FURIA | 72c | 1,328$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.24 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked paiN | 5c | 1,318$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed paiN | 4c | 1,305$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 74c | 1,164$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN | 27c | 1,158$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked paiN | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 28c | 972.22$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked paiN | 9c | 796.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked paiN | 2c | 699.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed FURIA | 72c | 659.72$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN | 9c | 619.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed FURIA | 71c | 619.02$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed FURIA | 72c | 556.42$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed FURIA | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…9594backed FURIA | 71c | 400$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked FURIA | 72c | 377$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed FURIA | 72c | 368.13$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed paiN | 29c | 363.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 4c | 350.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 17c | 345.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked paiN | 29c | 331.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed FURIA | 72c | 319.44$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed FURIA | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…dd69backed paiN | 7c | 284$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed FURIA | 73c | 249.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed paiN | 6c | 234.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FURIA | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked paiN | 16c | 140.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN | 19c | 137.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed paiN | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 70c | 124.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…973cbacked FURIA | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FURIA | 70c | 114.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed FURIA | 75c | 113.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed FURIA | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed paiN | 18c | 97.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed paiN | 35c | 92.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed FURIA | 71c | 91.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed FURIA | 73c | 87.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 21c | 83.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked paiN | 29c | 78.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed FURIA | 70c | 71.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed FURIA | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN | 18c | 54.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked FURIA | 73c | 53.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked FURIA | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed FURIA | 70c | 43.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed FURIA | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed FURIA | 72c | 42.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA | 74c | 39.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed FURIA | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed FURIA | 73c | 33.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…55d6backed FURIA | 73c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed FURIA | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.