TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$444,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,557 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN27c102,670$27,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,72142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA73c61,000$44,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,685.5221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked FURIA72c37,300$26,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,444.032055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed FURIA73c34,694$25,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,368.233066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed paiN27c30,000$8,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.4225842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed paiN28c30,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.9372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e2…9a09backed FURIA73c21,000$15,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,670.142060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed FURIA73c20,577$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,576.512552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…0c8abacked paiN28c14,287$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN28c13,228$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.641,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FURIA72c12,035$8,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.0445848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed paiN29c12,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.8475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed paiN27c10,155$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.662236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed FURIA72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.997940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA70c9,905$6,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.4971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN13c9,781$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.523,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA69c9,285$6,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.2337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked paiN28c8,745$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.3510445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed FURIA71c8,543$6,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.4519645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked paiN28c8,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2406450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked FURIA71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.2525751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed paiN29c6,907$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked paiN28c6,775$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked paiN27c6,281$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed paiN30c5,925$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.6423355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA72c5,719$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.6922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN21c5,491$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1751,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked paiN6c5,168$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN21c5,092$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0931,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked paiN28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.964546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.91,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed paiN31c4,801$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.2412941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed paiN15c4,737$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.811550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FURIA70c4,639$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.3884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN27c4,550$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.720539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed paiN30c4,472$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.6415141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed paiN11c4,353$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46921941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN20c4,281$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.441,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed paiN28c3,814$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.327146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed paiN26c3,699$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94644648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked paiN27c3,695$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3715760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked paiN29c3,600$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.968654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed paiN9c3,386$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.715048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN26c3,000$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed FURIA73c2,857$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.7816761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN28c2,750$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.441,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed paiN28c2,367$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.6342142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN27c2,202$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.5597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed FURIA72c2,100$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0110455.8%58 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked FURIA73c2,071$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.637439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed paiN27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed paiN28c2,000$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.0116149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x126b…298fbacked FURIA73c1,911$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed paiN21c1,870$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed paiN26c1,801$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4316945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed paiN28c1,787$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8716732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN18c1,500$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed paiN28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.913545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed FURIA79c1,407$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.267755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked FURIA73c1,333$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4437…a474backed FURIA73c1,299$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed FURIA77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.774158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed FURIA76c1,209$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8829858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed paiN27c1,209$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.423119.4%6 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-64.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN18c1,207$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked FURIA70c1,200$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3566060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked paiN28c1,130$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.141637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN29c1,066$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN31c1,050$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.51,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN27c1,039$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.622,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked paiN5c1,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed paiN27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked paiN29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked FURIA73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed paiN28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9511852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…9594backed FURIA72c991.28$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.755058%29 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked paiN29c980.61$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.098158%47 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked paiN10c930.09$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0554…9550backed FURIA73c910.23$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked paiN29c867.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA72c833.43$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed paiN28c815$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ce…d50abacked FURIA73c802.33$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked FURIA72c794.31$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4614971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked FURIA71c776.96$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3214853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed FURIA73c739.73$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7311365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA72c722.05$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1758651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7273…cfc3backed paiN28c720$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked FURIA80c700.55$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.224652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed paiN30c699.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.617840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked FURIA72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.449258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed FURIA72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4414863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked FURIA73c685$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18520458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed FURIA71c682.17$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.835455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed paiN27c673$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7133044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed paiN27c648.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17527459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked paiN31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.