CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f9e1a48d491d36761944a704bf7a8f44ed7fd8d2db4e6126b0b909b1356dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,183 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed paiN | 38c | 4,875$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 2c | 4,471$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed paiN | 27c | 4,280$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.65 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN | 38c | 3,874$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.06 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 64c | 3,811$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.59 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA | 73c | 3,006$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked paiN | 37c | 2,000$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.86 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked FURIA | 60c | 1,864$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.79 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed paiN | 20c | 1,584$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA | 62c | 1,530$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.1 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FURIA | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 43c | 1,383$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.68 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…32e3backed paiN | 18c | 1,326$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked FURIA | 53c | 1,264$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.13 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 10c | 1,164$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed FURIA | 61c | 1,146$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.94 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed paiN | 45c | 1,049$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN | 29c | 1,036$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FURIA | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FURIA | 69c | 792.71$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.71 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA | 60c | 783.99$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed paiN | 7c | 776.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked paiN | 21c | 701.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed FURIA | 63c | 699.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed paiN | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed paiN | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 60c | 541.59$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 41c | 465.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed paiN | 4c | 406.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed paiN | 17c | 375.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN | 35c | 375$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 24c | 367.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA | 63c | 347.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed paiN | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked paiN | 14c | 266.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed paiN | 16c | 257.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed paiN | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed paiN | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked FURIA | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…fd17backed FURIA | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked FURIA | 77c | 158.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…fad7backed FURIA | 65c | 154.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN | 10c | 152$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 8c | 146.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed paiN | 13c | 122.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed FURIA | 69c | 122.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed paiN | 37c | 115.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…0f9bbacked paiN | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed paiN | 20c | 107$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed FURIA | 70c | 106.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed paiN | 10c | 100.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FURIA | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked paiN | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed paiN | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked FURIA | 55c | 90.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed paiN | 29c | 86.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FURIA | 72c | 83.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN | 41c | 83.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed paiN | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed paiN | 36c | 78.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN | 25c | 77.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed FURIA | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed FURIA | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked paiN | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…0fdcbacked paiN | 27c | 67.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked paiN | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…cbb1backed paiN | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed FURIA | 69c | 57.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…dd69backed paiN | 36c | 55.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed paiN | 41c | 52.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…76eabacked paiN | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked paiN | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed paiN | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 41c | 48.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked FURIA | 63c | 47.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…1e62backed FURIA | 62c | 40.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked paiN | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked FURIA | 55c | 39.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed FURIA | 69c | 24.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed FURIA | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed FURIA | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.