TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,683 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked paiN55c12,154$6,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,628.833,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA44c4,799$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.4912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed FURIA63c2,961$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.3629858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked paiN50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed paiN60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9918752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed paiN56c1,850$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03616152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FURIA40c1,788$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN54c1,549$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN55c1,525$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed FURIA47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7958847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed paiN56c1,174$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed FURIA47c1,074$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8122938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed FURIA51c1,074$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2116945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked FURIA50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed FURIA46c975$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.518943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed paiN54c925$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN54c876.71$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.4220539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed paiN56c723.21$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked paiN53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3181,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed FURIA45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked paiN43c439.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1896541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed FURIA47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.536443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4a…299ebacked FURIA45c406$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2709…b1f1backed FURIA29c385$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e2…9b69backed FURIA29c381$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9838…9581backed FURIA45c377$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…153cbacked FURIA45c332$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed FURIA46c330.43$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.439834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed paiN55c328$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed FURIA46c325.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.994542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked FURIA50c313.47$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.744647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked paiN53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15925337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fa…44f2backed paiN55c290$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3906…b1d0backed paiN73c257$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA45c253.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.321,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5804…eba4backed FURIA29c245$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf450…f0f6backed paiN55c242$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed paiN64c233.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708f…dd7dbacked paiN73c232$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e7…dc6dbacked paiN73c231$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed FURIA47c213.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0810541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb92d…c949backed paiN76c213$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…d1cebacked paiN55c213$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb7…3f7fbacked paiN76c211$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed FURIA40c205.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6897230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe5…4a89backed paiN71c205$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a08…0587backed paiN76c204$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed FURIA45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11011050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6879…39fdbacked paiN73c194$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6d32backed paiN55c194$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed paiN56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811238.4%43 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfda2…d271backed paiN71c179$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…8a5abacked FURIA27c178$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42e…dd36backed paiN55c176$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…ce9ebacked paiN71c170$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97e…eb56backed FURIA27c168$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510c…d8b5backed FURIA27c166$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed FURIA45c163.34$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8445639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac23…a9ebbacked paiN71c154$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1baf…1023backed paiN71c153$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c32…e0dbbacked paiN71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…ad4cbacked FURIA27c148$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe63a…45ddbacked FURIA27c137$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294e…6102backed FURIA24c136$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2493…ab08backed FURIA24c130$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32c8…772cbacked FURIA24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fff…0a41backed FURIA24c122$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329b…dab5backed FURIA27c117$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6505…befcbacked FURIA24c115$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked paiN56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c71…adccbacked FURIA46c81.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.236845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed FURIA62c72.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5810632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb24…fad9backed paiN56c69.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked FURIA45c57.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9514555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed FURIA45c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.712856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed paiN54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked paiN55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258356.6%47 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed paiN37c43.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0124641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked FURIA63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6820052.5%105 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed paiN56c35.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4714…c177backed paiN56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked paiN56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c24…921dbacked FURIA47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked FURIA46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2680741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed paiN56c26.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5136846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed FURIA55c25.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6249947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked paiN48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e7…80d0backed FURIA50c20.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.