TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b22…ba7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$91.59
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$470.81
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$709.09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$86.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$233.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$131.43
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.99
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$1,063.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$780.61
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT4535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.19
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$199.11
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.3
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$191.09
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.84
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.17
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045.34
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.37
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$519.8
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$779.6
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+118.9%+$899.29
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.9%+$413.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$537.33
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$206
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$83.21
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$499.17
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.25
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.43
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.92
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.23
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$735
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.58
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.11
Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.5
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$332.99
Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.4%+$276.42
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$67.38
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.5
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$365.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+53%+$21.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.