TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,918 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates48c11,886$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.6419248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates55c9,533$5,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,212.1834356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Nongshim RedForce45c6,485$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Nongshim RedForce39c4,003$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44226838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Nongshim RedForce56c3,270$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.515642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Nongshim RedForce56c2,955$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.293060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Nongshim RedForce49c2,700$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+59.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nongshim RedForce52c2,625$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.6865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gentle Mates51c2,505$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.6625046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim RedForce57c2,487$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.4168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Gentle Mates67c1,835$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.311060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce53c1,717$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.1226051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked Gentle Mates50c1,604$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Gentle Mates47c1,315$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.016747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates45c1,310$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.511,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Nongshim RedForce57c1,269$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.767456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.451,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Gentle Mates48c926.6$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44736138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Gentle Mates59c761.96$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4493852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce53c756.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1310956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nongshim RedForce33c685.59$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Gentle Mates53c628.87$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Nongshim RedForce46c609.04$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.32759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd3…4255backed Gentle Mates47c608.36$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Gentle Mates43c599$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.314641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Gentle Mates66c466.13$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Gentle Mates42c415.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.397635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce41c401$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.961,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nongshim RedForce49c383.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5425536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Nongshim RedForce58c382$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.443284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Gentle Mates67c381.26$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.731040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Gentle Mates51c377$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.272339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates45c370.62$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1893248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Nongshim RedForce53c349.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0628247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nongshim RedForce50c338.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Nongshim RedForce59c333.53$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.121625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Gentle Mates39c308.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcff9…795abacked Nongshim RedForce50c306.84$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce39c275.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa2…a4f3backed Gentle Mates52c266.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04dd…d3dfbacked Nongshim RedForce38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nongshim RedForce42c263$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.978835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nongshim RedForce60c241.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3220855.8%116 W · 92 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4c…58cebacked Nongshim RedForce56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.141866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Gentle Mates17c224.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.035939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed Gentle Mates46c219.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Nongshim RedForce41c219$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.394632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked Gentle Mates32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7c…e500backed Gentle Mates43c200.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8670%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nongshim RedForce41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9410840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Gentle Mates36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.85839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b04…cf8bbacked Gentle Mates52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Nongshim RedForce69c185.63$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.88848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Nongshim RedForce42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.194932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Nongshim RedForce56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Nongshim RedForce55c174.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gentle Mates49c172.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4213642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Gentle Mates59c161.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked Nongshim RedForce66c156.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.292060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Gentle Mates51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.54535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Gentle Mates41c140.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates33c123$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6381834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Nongshim RedForce56c113.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.910661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nongshim RedForce52c100.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.549062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked Nongshim RedForce52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Gentle Mates55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Gentle Mates34c96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.881833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Gentle Mates14c95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37623.7%18 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Gentle Mates67c92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.643345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7215…7cb0backed Nongshim RedForce51c87.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.414774.5%35 W · 12 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2217…c808backed Gentle Mates59c84.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates27c81.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9466638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfad2…77fbbacked Nongshim RedForce52c80.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.671145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Gentle Mates14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Gentle Mates50c79.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f2…1183backed Nongshim RedForce35c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.759050%45 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Nongshim RedForce30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Nongshim RedForce65c66.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0110859.3%64 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates41c60.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8257517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Nongshim RedForce42c59.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8522058.6%129 W · 91 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nongshim RedForce39c57.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0623146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Nongshim RedForce35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Gentle Mates46c56.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2610217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f8…ac78backed Nongshim RedForce52c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.292441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim RedForce56c53.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7751948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Nongshim RedForce50c47.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.754134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Nongshim RedForce56c45.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.872638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c6…792abacked Gentle Mates38c41.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed Nongshim RedForce43c40.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.213743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates53c40.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.661,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Nongshim RedForce44c40.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.432646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed Gentle Mates45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Nongshim RedForce52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4663056.3%355 W · 275 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Nongshim RedForce52c37.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9242840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Nongshim RedForce47c36.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Nongshim RedForce58c34.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.593053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Gentle Mates44c33.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nongshim RedForce57c32.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9318241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Nongshim RedForce60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.