TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,897 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7e2…826cbacked Nongshim RedForce46c2,942$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Nongshim RedForce65c2,752$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.731625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates48c2,224$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.9168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Nongshim RedForce42c1,707$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.725642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Gentle Mates36c1,326$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.163060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce36c1,249$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.4210956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Gentle Mates38c1,202$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8733759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Gentle Mates36c1,175$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.642934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates39c1,045$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked Gentle Mates80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim RedForce60c996.94$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4919248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates36c940.01$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates43c848.55$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.191,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b04…cf8bbacked Nongshim RedForce31c804.95$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.961936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Nongshim RedForce45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3855728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Gentle Mates55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38528247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Gentle Mates61c693.64$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.1626051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nongshim RedForce59c678.23$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked Gentle Mates35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates34c414.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.451,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Gentle Mates26c390.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed Nongshim RedForce58c343.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.32988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Gentle Mates61c320.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Nongshim RedForce46c289.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.768848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed Nongshim RedForce74c272.16$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.764562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Nongshim RedForce18c265$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.330828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates54c262.64$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Gentle Mates58c256$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.528751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Nongshim RedForce32c251.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.856747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Gentle Mates60c236.76$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8210661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Gentle Mates44c224$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.114632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Gentle Mates47c223.17$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Nongshim RedForce58c206.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.296852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Nongshim RedForce38c203.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.681040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Gentle Mates36c199$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.698835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Gentle Mates33c196$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.088837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Gentle Mates43c179.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.195839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nongshim RedForce42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dd…d3dfbacked Gentle Mates42c159.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc244…ea3bbacked Gentle Mates22c145.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Gentle Mates43c142$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4610840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Nongshim RedForce62c139$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.826734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Gentle Mates58c134.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7911152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Gentle Mates42c133$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.894932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e4c…58cebacked Gentle Mates60c124.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates22c121$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1466438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim RedForce42c119.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3651948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates39c108.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.381,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfad2…77fbbacked Gentle Mates39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Nongshim RedForce27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737623.7%18 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Nongshim RedForce33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Gentle Mates37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x429f…7f2dbacked Gentle Mates26c93.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Gentle Mates28c87.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0110217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gentle Mates40c80.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nongshim RedForce63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3720755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Gentle Mates58c79.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.679953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Gentle Mates25c67.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.054134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Gentle Mates33c66.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.37635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nongshim RedForce74c64.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1823146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Gentle Mates28c61.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.117352.1%38 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Gentle Mates28c60.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.886949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Nongshim RedForce66c58.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Gentle Mates46c48.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.429062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Nongshim RedForce41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b86…449cbacked Nongshim RedForce41c48.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d90…08abbacked Gentle Mates63c47.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe89…c2b1backed Gentle Mates32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked Nongshim RedForce57c45.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3912552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Gentle Mates60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.841833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked Nongshim RedForce43c39.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88333.7%28 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Gentle Mates51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7215…7cb0backed Nongshim RedForce65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464774.5%35 W · 12 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Gentle Mates33c36.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c20…3e11backed Gentle Mates55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Gentle Mates44c33.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6417332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates35c29.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.357517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Gentle Mates42c26.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gentle Mates51c23.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Nongshim RedForce46c22.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2921240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Nongshim RedForce60c21.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.662166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Nongshim RedForce76c19.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7914652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.