TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof NRG, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,855 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG0c50,003$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.123146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG27c7,977$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.5819248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Paper Rex74c4,213$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.258066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed NRG43c3,458$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.2610455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Paper Rex79c2,843$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.842951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed NRG1c2,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.966418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Paper Rex78c2,293$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5533759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex64c1,842$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.471,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Paper Rex58c1,542$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.6326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Paper Rex72c1,516$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Paper Rex79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex79c1,432$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG27c1,205$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed NRG4c1,080$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Paper Rex57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43013759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed NRG44c999.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed Paper Rex55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed NRG18c777.47$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.723834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aeb…01c2backed Paper Rex57c750$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG26c690$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.45939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Paper Rex73c689.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.111957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG43c676.5$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex58c622.5$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.510956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG32c612.3$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9228541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked NRG42c581.89$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.194535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG30c531.28$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NRG42c530.91$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Paper Rex57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3225555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex65c515.88$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.253129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed NRG17c503.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.667635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb04…832fbacked NRG16c500$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Paper Rex56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22015553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Paper Rex59c488.14$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.142369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex63c462.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6362156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed NRG24c425$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.111250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG42c399.95$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Paper Rex68c368.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5421257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Paper Rex56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.838848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG34c279.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.541,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed NRG27c255.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9414652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Paper Rex57c228.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.562846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG24c212$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.881,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Paper Rex60c204.9$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.384057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG42c195$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.71,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex62c190$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.214645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…2c29backed Paper Rex57c175.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x679d…6f07backed NRG29c175.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.031030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Paper Rex58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed18…0b97backed Paper Rex61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked NRG42c160.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.424736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Paper Rex72c152.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6821859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Paper Rex62c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG41c142.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Paper Rex55c138$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.136145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG39c133.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.081,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3124457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed NRG19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1950%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex56c99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5610661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG28c95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.578837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed NRG43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed NRG23c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Paper Rex57c89.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.321963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed NRG21c87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.144632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex58c86.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.518343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked NRG44c84.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3221240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac2…c7e0backed Paper Rex59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Paper Rex59c82.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.882638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.854439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed NRG27c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.268835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4b9…bbe5backed Paper Rex59c74.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…3773backed Paper Rex55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…b3edbacked NRG28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Paper Rex59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.88451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed NRG42c60.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7110959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed NRG27c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.114353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG41c55.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6814957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.048751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Paper Rex74c54.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+54.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf91c…eb82backed Paper Rex56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Paper Rex58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7212656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked NRG30c51.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3251948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Paper Rex57c49.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4927847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed NRG50c49.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Paper Rex61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1828151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…2574backed NRG41c48.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex64c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1666438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG31c46.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked Paper Rex58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Paper Rex57c42.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.366061.7%37 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Paper Rex73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad2…77fbbacked Paper Rex58c40.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f2…1183backed Paper Rex57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29050%45 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd86…d74fbacked Paper Rex56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Paper Rex56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716251.6%32 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed NRG42c35.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Paper Rex65c30.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7514747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked NRG45c30.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6912948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb218…f030backed Paper Rex59c29.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.