Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876f3e330481f877d2b5da669c2a6d5d83271822d7f6384e9efb6ff8171d8b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof NRG, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed NRG | 1c | 12,950$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 2c | 10,447$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 10c | 6,260$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.09 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed NRG | 2c | 5,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 22c | 4,856$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.95 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 24c | 4,389$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.88 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Paper Rex | 60c | 3,862$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.98 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed NRG | 10c | 3,150$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked NRG | 23c | 3,013$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed NRG | 23c | 1,783$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.42 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 39c | 1,477$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.88 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 6c | 1,307$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed NRG | 38c | 1,296$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked NRG | 3c | 1,264$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed NRG | 12c | 1,239$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…ffc2backed NRG | 1c | 1,069$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NRG | 43c | 1,001$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.43 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked NRG | 40c | 791.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.47 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed NRG | 43c | 655.19$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.73 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 15c | 642.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 62c | 569.44$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked NRG | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…b3edbacked NRG | 18c | 452.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed NRG | 9c | 428.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed NRG | 13c | 413.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked NRG | 28c | 386.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed NRG | 15c | 381$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed NRG | 17c | 347.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked NRG | 8c | 338.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NRG | 39c | 322.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG | 41c | 308.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed NRG | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex | 62c | 293.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed NRG | 25c | 286.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb28e…3997backed NRG | 11c | 277.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Paper Rex | 60c | 263.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 255.15$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Paper Rex | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…f142backed NRG | 8c | 238.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex | 61c | 236.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…ce06backed Paper Rex | 69c | 206.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Paper Rex | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed NRG | 40c | 198.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed NRG | 11c | 175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked NRG | 17c | 173.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Paper Rex | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Paper Rex | 62c | 161.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked NRG | 25c | 148.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed NRG | 10c | 147.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Paper Rex | 78c | 135.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Paper Rex | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…3773backed Paper Rex | 59c | 84.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NRG | 14c | 84.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…e9b5backed Paper Rex | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 20c | 73.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Paper Rex | 61c | 73.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex | 70c | 73.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…1214backed NRG | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…2574backed NRG | 36c | 56.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 53.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed NRG | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…77fbbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 48.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…879dbacked NRG | 45c | 44.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Paper Rex | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…8d3cbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed NRG | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked NRG | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…2c29backed NRG | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NRG | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…3a35backed Paper Rex | 58c | 24.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…ae49backed Paper Rex | 60c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.