TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof NRG, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,635 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11e5…337ebacked Paper Rex67c6,218$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.095642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG42c5,057$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.8526050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG27c4,274$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.7189344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG39c3,511$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.1919248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked NRG46c2,170$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.4212948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed NRG36c1,906$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.822951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Paper Rex52c1,813$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.1621558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed NRG47c1,630$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.428066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed NRG11c1,600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aeb…01c2backed Paper Rex56c1,501$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.471060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG50c998.15$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked NRG46c955.4$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.3724732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex54c918.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.1710956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex58c861$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.623129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Paper Rex52c826$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG42c814.8$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.851,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8581…e74dbacked NRG38c809.96$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Paper Rex51c781.49$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.935666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed NRG55c780$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Paper Rex54c735.42$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.292369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex53c645.09$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.270251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG43c616.32$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.725939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed NRG14c587.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Paper Rex53c566.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Paper Rex53c560.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9125555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex73c551.1$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2414652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Paper Rex64c537.83$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.011250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex54c534$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.318751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed NRG50c523.86$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.523834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4d…554bbacked NRG20c519.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.823941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Paper Rex53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23512835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Paper Rex65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb28e…3997backed NRG35c427.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Paper Rex48c403$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.582934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked NRG38c389.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9e…21fdbacked Paper Rex39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Paper Rex55c362.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.183148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked NRG46c349.95$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.454736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Paper Rex59c346.95$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.254057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex50c339.04$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7514645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG30c328.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG58c320.62$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9634356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb04…832fbacked Paper Rex50c317.85$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex65c306.74$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9237…9c99backed Paper Rex53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed NRG38c259.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex60c229.62$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Paper Rex48c224.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.022846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex45c220.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.368343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9686747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed NRG34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5facbacked Paper Rex65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.32657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex73c196.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0681834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Paper Rex55c196$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.268835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex54c191.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2643459.2%257 W · 177 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed Paper Rex54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NRG50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex54c181.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7410661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Paper Rex55c174.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.932857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed NRG44c170.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.799142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked NRG35c149.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Paper Rex56c141.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.482638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0414…daf6backed NRG58c141.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Paper Rex51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2536446.2%168 W · 196 L+24.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex55c136.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5624457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked NRG51c135.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Paper Rex50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.364932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed NRG43c132.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.796346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked NRG39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518333.7%28 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd43…4948backed NRG13c128.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac2…c7e0backed Paper Rex40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd168…a7edbacked Paper Rex52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Paper Rex68c122.1$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.075162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Paper Rex43c111.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6328151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Paper Rex68c109.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e5…e9b5backed Paper Rex51c103.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG31c101.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6423146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed NRG50c100.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked NRG49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f1…7e14backed Paper Rex47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex77c99.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…3773backed Paper Rex52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Paper Rex49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.244353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Paper Rex56c94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3810840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Paper Rex49c93.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1921257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed NRG21c93.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Paper Rex64c90.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.051866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Paper Rex56c89.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9122058.6%129 W · 91 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Paper Rex49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.164632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed NRG13c79.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa81d…f142backed NRG19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b9…bbe5backed NRG48c77.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.979042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG37c70.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7114957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Paper Rex55c70.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5363652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.788837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed NRG47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.912540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Paper Rex51c68.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0814747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Paper Rex63c66.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3815455.8%86 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked NRG50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.